AKP wants to change constitution, which they need %67 votes of the parliment and they dont have it, even with the given alliance with MHP. Most likely they will use the need of new constitution as an excuse for an early election.

Why would they want it, you might ask.

To:

reassure trust in the eyes of London banks

prove to Biden and EU that he is still the peoples choice

to reverse the discontent inside AKP

secure another term before it is too late. If this election doesn’t happen there will be mass exodus to Gelecek(ex gülenist conservative) and Deva (supposedly liberal conservatives that are playing for the Gen Z) in 2022. It is impossible for AKP to survive until 2023

BONUS:

to get rid of MHP sucking AKP’s power turning erdogan into a lame duck. Cumhur Alliance will be disbanded in case of an early election because both sides want more power. Also AKP wants to make semi-reforms, release Demirtaş, get close with west while MHP wants full autocracy and an Eurasian alliance.

But

But without MHP, AKP can't even cheat in the elections, it's almost certain if give MHP middle finger, they will lose. They want to monkey branch I get that but current situation is really against them. Lately MHP pull out a 4D chess move about giving a speech about closing HDP, if AKP strictly opposes that MHP get out of the situation even stronger.