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>>/46384/ > When that will happen? First round on the 2nd of October, second on the 30th. Lula is likely to win primarily because of the decaying economic situation and nostalgia for better times in the 2000s, despite the slide into stagnation and crisis beginning under his handpicked successor. Ciro and Moro are already well known by the electorate and battle out for the third spot; who knows if maybe one of them can reach the second round. Moro can't win the second round because he can't be populist enough. Maybe Ciro can, he's simultaneously probing the centrist electorate with a moderate image and attacks on Lula as well as trying to take over Lula's place in the left.