Now the deep dive.
Is a world war coming?
No sure answer, Trump made the world more secure. What the fuck.
He cites a study which asked people all over in the West if there will be another WW in the next 5-10 years, here's the percentages of the yes side:
France: 55
Spain: 50
Italy: 46
US: 45
UK: 41
Germany: 41
He says authors and analysts publish stuff about WWIII by the dozen these days.
He collected bad omens indicators of a world war and processes leading to one, based on the history of the interwar period:
- Rivalry strengthens between the great powers. This guy is a genius. He says 3 Suns are on the sky now: USA, Chiner, and Russia.
- Number of armed conflicts rises. In 1990 there were 111 armed conflicts all over the globe, in 2024 184. Since 2010 armed conflicts between states - not just simply between armed groups - doubled. He wisely keeps quiet about the actual numbers here. I wonder where an armed conflicts starts according to him and the lackeys who collected the stuff for him. When aunt Mary beats uncle Joe with the rolling pin?
- Before great wars arms race gets stronger. From 1990 to 2025 military spending grew to 1,5 times of the original. I wonder if this has something to do with Trump demanding that 2% spending from NATO cunts. Most investments into arms are financed by loans, and loans can only be covered if the investment pays off, ergo the weapons have to be used, wars have to happen. I don't get this, but okay.
- World economy gets ordered in power blocks. The big geopolitical blocks close down the markets from each other. In the past 10 years the number of policies that restricts global trade grew by 5 times.
- The rise of migration. Global migration doubled, it effects 300 million people.
So, he says, chances for another WW grows continuously.