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Ukraine's Economy Collapsed, Zelensky Defaults On Western Debt

Who could have seen this coming? Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky has signed a new law which defers public debt payments until October if necessary, Reuters has confirmed. The bill was signed by Zelensky and returned to parliament on Wednesday.

The government now has the authority to postpone payments on external public debt until restructuring negotiations are seen through, which could then see a moratorium held that would formally mark a sovereign default.

"It is necessary to introduce, for the period of transactions to change the terms of borrowing, temporary measures related to the servicing and repayment of debt obligations and a moratorium on satisfaction of creditors' claims," the bill released by the president's office said.

The clock is ticking on debt restructure as a payment freeze agreed upon two years ago will soon expire (on Aug.1), and as Reuters notes: "Earlier this month, Ukraine announced a preliminary deal with a committee of its main bondholders to restructure its near $20 billion worth of international debt."

Bondholders must still approve the deal, which is likely, given the plan has the support of foreign governments.

Exactly one week ago, Fitch Ratings downgraded the country's long-term foreign currency issuer default rating from the "CC" level to the lower "C" level.

"The reported agreement with external commercial creditors constitutes a distressed debt exchange (DDE) under its sovereign rating criteria," Fitch said.

Reuters further reviews that the proposal would see "a 37% nominal haircut on Ukraine's outstanding international bonds, saving Kyiv $11.4 billion in payments over the next three years - the duration of the country's program with the International Monetary Fund, according to government statements."

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/zelensky-suspends-ukraines-foreign-debt-payments-starting-aug-1st
Here's a theory.
Ukraine's electricity import grew in the past months (back in spring they still exported), have to buy it from neighbouring countries: Poland, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania (perhaps Moldova too). Recently they cut oil supply to (Czechia,) Hungary, and Slovakia, but who declared they might have to cut the electricity to reciprocate.
What if Ukraine planned stopping buying electricity to cut expenditure but instead acknowledging their financial weakness they put a twist on it and said
> well let's make a strike on these countries first the screenplay says they are dealing with the enemy and they are bad
So now, if electricity sales are cut, they can say it's not for their inability to play, but for the spitefulness of these countries.



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