>>/136432/
Flat out he will lose. The only thing that matters is the caucus. In Nevada, the republican delegates are distributed according to the caucus. From what I understand, Nikki Haley is participating in the primary but not the caucus. 
The republican candidates get delegates via the caucus only, in Nevada. 

https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/explaining-nevadas-dueling-2024-primary-system-matters/story?id=104127101


https://lasvegassun.com/news/2023/aug/20/caucus-primary-or-both-confusion-surrounds-2024-pr/