/polru/ - pol - Russian Edition

>>/polru/164063@129185
To be honest, I said back in September that the initiative is so on the side of the Ukrainian Armed Forces that they can hit anywhere and anytime: there are no hard deadlines, there are only specific points and directions where the strike guarantees instant dividends.
Ironically, it's like quantum particles -- you either know where they are, you know when they are, or you know both, but with a big margin of error.
A lot of people knew that the war was lost on the 24th - I knew it two weeks before the first shot, which has proofs in the archiver. No one knows the exact date of the defeat. I have been writing about Verdan and the Fortress of Donbass for a whole year (at least since April 2022) - long before even Igor Ivanovich - I know that in the current configuration it is impossible to take the southeast of Ukraine immediately, but I cannot say for sure when the defeat will become absolute.
Conversely, I know when the time is near, which is best suited for major maneuvers, and when the sides are on the defensive. I predicted with accuracy to the day that the retreat from Kherson of the Russian Armed Forces and the offensive on Kherson of the Armed Forces will be from November 19 to November 23 - why? Because the weather. These days it was extremely sunny and dry. I knew that in mid-February-March there would be battles in the Donbass, and I guessed the dates exactly, because the weather was right, but I did not guess that Muradov would go into the attack, and the navigator Ugledar would go into the forehead twice. Why didn't you guess the attacking side? Because no one could guess, because the attack turned out to be a suicide march of equipment without cover on minefields without the support of infantry. From such tricks, even lampas were stunned and Muradov was removed from his posts. It was so crazy that even “there” could not stand.
>> What could change the plans?
The most obvious is the weather. Suddenly there were heavy rains over the front line, which had not happened in previous years. This contributes to the defense and hinders the offensive. The best days were April 20-28 and May 20-28. If it does not, then the attack will go by the summer. But in the summer, the technique is not very comfortable either.
Optical surveillance doesn’t like clouds. Radar and communications - thunderstorms and precipitation. 99% of the drones on the front are mavic or lighter, and they don't fly well when the wind is windy. Without the ability to advance on the roads - the equipment goes on the fields, and in the damp soil it gets stuck. The counterattack will require the best possible conditions, so that even if it is not very successful, people and equipment are not wasted. And that means waiting for a dry and sunny week or two. As soon as the weather forecast on the front line shows an improvement in the weather - expect a counterattack.
>> The leak and the Pentagon?
Desa. They leaked completely unimportant docks that reveal nothing.
>> It's not done yet?