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>>/polru/232714@129185
>> What did you expect from the best outcome of the counterattack?
It is obvious that Berdyansk is an unrealistic goal for the summer campaign, so Tokmak is the best outcome for me. This is essentially the main railway knot that connects the bulk troops in the Kherson region with Russia. If it is interrupted, then all railway supplies will go through the Crimean bridge, and from Tokmak it is less than 250 km, that is, the target is quite within the radius of fire control. You know the consequences. It is one thing to supply the civilian population via the ferry, as it was in 2014-2016, another thing to supply the armed group, when all sorts of Shadow storms are still pouring down from above. It would have been a Kherson, only on a different scale.
In short, it would be a perfect scenario, which would allow for 2023/24 to deal with the Crimea and concentrate efforts in the Donbass. The war would have ended at this rate in 2025/26. Or maybe earlier, it is unknown how the faggots and elites would react to the difficult decision from the Crimea.
Given the current pace of progress, the most realistic outcome seems to me that the APU will reach the main line of fortifications and be tied there before the end of summer. They'll probably take Energodar.
>> What were you planning on doing in this case?
Rejoice and troll cotton guards on the Internet.