Hey, null-coon! Let's get away from short-term forecasts and try to look 5-15-30 years ahead. Here are my schizotheories:
1) The faggot will sit firmly on the throne until his (most likely) natural death in 15-20 years. This is due to the fact that he has already managed to grow a neo-aristocracy (weak men of the SVO, businessmen who squeezed Western assets), whose well-being is directly related to the fact that the point of view of the war will not change, and the person who gave them these benefits will not change.
2) The war in the active phase will last about three more years, then it will go into a cold phase like the Karabakh conflict. There will be no peace treaty. The front line will change slightly, there will be no breakthroughs of the type 2022.
(3) In 7-8 years after the end of the active phase of this conflict (~10-11 years from the current moment), a new one will begin. Options 2: forcible incorporation of Belarus into the Russian Federation or conflict over Northern Kazakhstan. I consider the second option more likely because I believe that the father will be able to get out, and in the ruling circles of the Russian Federation by that time there will be discontent with China due to the fact that it knows how to fuck not weaker or even worse than the West. As the guts are thin with China, discontent will be spilled on its Central Asian partners. The result will be similar to the war in Ukraine.