/kc/ - Krautchan

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Energy wankery goes on.
 >>/54586/  >>/54592/
So beyond these things Fidesz media says (well some official or exbert there) the Ukrainians attack various infrastructures (power grid was mentioned specifically) related to the pipelines since 2022 November.
https://hungarytoday.hu/oil-deliveries-resume-through-friendship-pipeline/

Now these things were floated, the first I heard earlier in previous years:
- Ukraine gets 80% of her electricity via Hungary and Northern Hungary.
- Ukraine gets her diesel from Slovnaft (part of MOL Group...) ensuring her vehicles run, not just the military ones, but civilians such as ambulances - this reminder was given through a phone call by Pozsony to Kiev
How these statements are presented, they sound like a threat, that:
> hurr durr we can cut it too
We can't tho, we have multilateral contracts and obligations.
So what these are useful is to show that we do help Ukraine in her effort both the war and in general to keep the state afloat, to keep the country, the economy, the services work. So these hostile actions that target the oil and gas pipelines are uncalled for.

Problem is...
I do not think it's Ukraine doing it. Just the same as not three Ukrainians with a rented boat blew up the Nord Stream while a NATO navy exercise went on an arrowflight away. The US wants to cut off Europe from Russian energy, they blew up the Nord Stream and they tell the Ukrainians what to target in Russia, they even supply the weapons, the intel, the sat images, the guidance.
Ukrainians are just expandable tools, and if this makes the neighbourly friendship impossible, the better for the US.

Also we are often make the mistake to think of Ukraine as sovereign entity.

Media, analysts, people sometimes mention Putin's maximalist demands, and they generally mean:
- Crimea, Kherson, Zaporozhia, Donetsk, Lugansk
- Ukraine demilitarized
- No NATO
Occasionally no EU.
I do not think it's maximalist. I think Putin holds back with these demands. Their maximalist aim could be:
- to the Dniepr plus Mykolaev and Odessa
- Belarus type of Ukraine on the remainder.
And since from all the communications from both sides, the war will go on for some time and they might just try to reach this - if they can break Ukrainian will and resistance.
They don't demand such things, they won't demand it. Because larger demands would make Ukrainians resists more.
As Clausewitz says: higher aims need higher effort. If Ukrainians believe they only have to defend a couple of oblasts and NATO membership they put less effort into the war than if they are told they have to struggle for more than half of the country and for their total independence. This is why the Ukrainian communication is always about their sovereignty and freedom and integrity as a whole, this is why they claim existential threat, this is why the Zelensky govt. aims high, because they want the Ukrainian people to resist. They want to move more people, demand more effort from them.

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In today's Matt talks about this article: 
https://carnegieendowment.org/research/2025/08/is-the-prohibition-on-the-use-of-force-collapsing?lang=en
Authors:
Unna Hathaway - Yale/Harvard She's monolingual, hilarious
Patrick Stewart (this is another one) - Oxford/Stanford He was capable learning French at least.
Smoking on the giant liberal crackpipe. To write all these bs, they really needed to learn at four top universities of the world.
Anyway.
Liberalism work if everyone agrees on playing by the rules. But reality is dictated by the most insane person in the room.
> t. Michael Rossi
In foreign relations, international politics there is no higher power. All these international agreements work as long as it serves the interests of the most powerful. This was always like this. The first little circlejerk called League of Nations failed spectacularly.
These two retards citing Putin and Russia-Ukraine. Whatabout Kosovo? The real precedent for the attempt to alter borders was done by the most liberal, Democrat, Clinton led United States. They are the classic example of the most insane person in the room. All right they mention Kosovo further down.
And I agree with Matt. Post WWII 20th century and on the 21st was just as bloody as any previous eras, states just looked for other justifications, and Western powers - first and foremost the United States - used liberal justifications for her predatory actions. And yes not the "legal order" kept peace between great powers (the US and SU) but MAD. And MAD still has not changed. 
This Golden Era of peace the crocodile tears are falling for never existed.
Look at this:
> While smaller nations generally face meaningful constraints on their use of force
Yeah, the big bullies keep the small ones in check in a schoolyard of bullies. What a great legal order.
Anyway these two faggots act like they just learnt about Realpolitik in first time in their life and they are very surprised. Maybe they should have picked better universities for their studies.

 >>/54603/
Beyond MAD guaranteeing peace between great powers, these had good reasons to not initiate landgrab wars.
When a country annexes a piece of land, unless they can ethnically cleanse the area they'll end up with a bunch of foreigners who might not want to belong to that country. This can mean a bunch of uncomfortable things. One of the main thing is that they have to keep the place occupied at all times and spend a bunch of money and time to it.
The US is also confined on her continent, she could only get overseas territories which sucks to reach. The Soviet Union had also population problems to do such moves albeit it had long dry border.
The US found the solution around 1906 when they figured out what to do with Cuba and the Philippines which they held occupied: they turned them into clients.
The SU acted the same with the Eastern European countries, the Eastern Block was the Soviet Union and her clients.
The rationale is: we don't have to control the whole population if they can be controlled via a regime we control. The US runs her massive client empire super cheap. The Book says: in the fiscal year of 2004 they spent a bit more than 1% of the budget on the routine maintenance of 81 client states. And clients are there to project and amplify the power of their patron.
All great powers and even lesser powers moved to this system.

Why Russia does the landgrab now? Because she failed to acquire Ukraine as a client for the west just outbid them when they bought up all the corrupt politicians and because the clay she incorporates is populated by the same people who lived in the Soviet Union. There is no ethnic, cultural, economical or even political problems. Nada.

The weakening dollar is bad for Russia.
When the rubble got inflated, Putin just shrugged and said, well we get more money when we export stuff. The trade is in USD and if the rubble gets weaker then for every USD enters Russia they get more rubble.
But if the USD gets weaker than it means they are lowering the difference, essentially it's like as if the rubble gets stronger.
So inflating the USD is a counter Russia move as well among others, to target Russian economy.

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Telling this for years.

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Posting this for later reading, hopefully won't forget.

During the Trump-Putin meeting they also discussed cooperation in the arctic gas production. Russia aims to step among the largest LNG producers of the world.
Too bad for the "unnamed sources"
https://www.rcinet.ca/eye-on-the-arctic/2025/08/26/us-russia-discussed-energy-deals-including-in-arctic-alongside-ukraine-talks/

I suspect since Europe is forbidden to buy Russian gas, and have to buy US LNG, but US can't supply enough, it could happen Europe will end up buying Russian LNG from the US...

 >>/54608/
Is China making liek an inside joke or something?

This shit is hilarious. Not the article but what he reports about.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/2/its-all-theatre-are-europe-and-the-us-pulling-apart-on-ukraine
> Kyiv’s European and regional allies have begun to nail down commitments to a peacekeeping force that would enter Ukraine after a ceasefire is reached 
Another promise they don't have to keep so it is promised easily. If there won't be a ceasefire there is no need to send forces. It's the same with NATO membership. They know some countries would veto it, so they can promise it liberally.
This is great:
> What have countries promised?
> Estonia has said it was prepared to contribute at least a military unit
> Lithuania had earlier announced it was ready to send an unspecified number of troops.
The rest doesn't promise any soldiers. Some German colonel talks about how much would be needed, and the Turks said they considering sending (but not willing).
So for now it seems the backbone of the "peacekeeping force" would be put together by two countries with the combined population of ~4,2 million whom themselves are badly need all the soldiers there is available since they are the most likely targets if Russia would decide to attack NATO countries.
And about the ceasefire:
> “Everybody knows still that a ceasefire was among one of the worst-case possible outcomes for Ukraine before Trump arrived in office,” he said.
> Ukraine and its European allies have repeatedly scoffed at a truce as a chance for 
So much this. As previously said it was a major Orbán talking point, and now they mysteriously stole it from him. They do think it'd suck and no way they'd doing that but they have to keep Rutte's Daddy Trump happy so they try to approach this peace thing from there since this untolerable ceasefire is the most tolerable option for them.
> “The need to humour Trump, and to play along with the fantasy version of reality that drives the Trump world, means that they still pay lip service to these ludicrous ideas,” 
This Giles guy from Chatham House tells the truth, the author of the article did good to quote them.

I think Ukrainian "break ins" are done by releasing older footage and they are geolocated as if they were new.

Fresh news that a Hungarian was press ganged by the AFU. He had exemption for he has been taking care of his helpless invalid mom for three years now.
Btw this is the story of the previous guy the news were about: he was taken by the AFU, beaten bad, then they pushed him out the streets to walk home, family had to take him to hospital where he died by pulmonary embolism.

This is a nice summary of Russian tactics.
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=Zd9u0pv68Kc
https://youtube.com/watch?v=Zd9u0pv68Kc
The parts fit and roll well together.
- push on the flanks
- fatten the gains
- vertically envelope the ground between the flanks
- pin everyone in place with drones, they see every movement and can strike there, force the enemy to huddle in fortifications
- pound the fortifications with arty (and fabs), tear them up
- when the fortifications are broken and opened up, no sealed place to hide kill the living force with thermobarics
- move in with ground troops to kill or capture those who survived still, and occupy the place
I think DRGs aren't explained well, so a bit hard to fit them in. I think those are used to prod enemy lines and find the easiest way where they can open up a flank, and if there is a prolonged siege of one enveloped pocket they also sent to find way ins (and when inside they can act diversionary too). On the flanks they "overload" a place as infantry where other Russian elements can move in, such as drone teams. Then they try to build the "defensive bubble" of various weapon systems while they fatten the flank: pushing in heavy weaponry, air defense, EW equipment, etc.
From just this:
> to puncture pores lines, sow chaos, and accumulate forces
...it's hard to imagine what they really do and achieve (beyond dying or get captured).
The process above (push on flanks ... occupy) can be done on various scale. For example when they build a flank, they push out from the line, a bulge forms but two potential envelopments on both side. They can hold enemy in there with drones, drop some bombs them, maybe even use the tochka, then occupy that place to fatten the gains.
And for larger scale there is now Pokrovsk-Mirnograd as live example.

 >>/54626/
Also I don't think these are "DRG" elements as in specialized troops, but regular Russian infantry which operates in this type of way. They developed their tactics via trial-and-error feedback loop. It will probably evolve more.
DRG is a misnomer like tactical nukes.

EU is preparing the 19th "This Will Surely Force Russia Onto Her Knees" sanction package. And they will roll out another one before the year ends.

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Started to read Jacques Baud's book, The Russian Art of War: How the West Led Ukraine to Defeat, and he writes very interesting things, especially about the Russian thought of Operational Art of War.
I remember my conversation on these pages with an Australian Bernd, where I tried to explain to him the operational level that sits between strategy and tactics. I don't think I managed to get my point through. But apparently - according to Baud - this level is entirely missing from the thought of Westerners, so maybe I haven't tried to describe something that he could have a picture of but he did not know about, but I tried to describe a picture that he never had the chance even to see in his life.
Very curious feeling because I'm fairly sure Western military writers, theorists and even officers who learn in military schools (such as West Point in the US) do know about this thing, and it's a normal way of conducting their "operations" so to speak.
I know Hungarians do, all my readings in my youth related to military topics based on the tripartite division of war: hadászati szint (strategic level), hadműveleti szint (operational level), harcászati szint (tactical level). Tho no wonder these authors know it, they had spent 40 years in marxists military schools learning the Soviet School of Thought.
I do remember tho mentioning that the Soviet developed the idea (I think general Tukhachevsky in particular).
Anyway I dl'd Gantz's book about the Soviet Military Operational Art too, gonna read sometimes in the hope I can convey the thing better in the future.

books very much related

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Israel bombed something in Qatar. They say they targeted senior Hamas officials.
Qatar is the mediator between Israel and Hamas, so yeah, probably there are Hamas officials there. On the other hand if they kill 'em how will they negotiate? Yeah, they don't want to talk, the Netanyahu govt. mind is set.
Guterres is anti-Semite again.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/9/israeli-military-says-it-has-attacked-hamas-leadership-in-qatars-doha
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/9/9/qatar-condemns-cowardly-israeli-attack-in-doha

Israel is totally unchecked, they have free hand to do whatever they want. Donald "Totally-Not-on-The-Blackmail-List-of-Epstein-therefore-Israel" Trump is the biggest stooge from all the US presidents.

 >>/54637/
Explosions have been seen and heard in Qatar’s capital, Doha.  Smoke is seen rising over a significant area.  Similar to the type and size of smoke seen after an air strike.

This was an Israeli attack upon the Capital city of Qatar.   Israel is now openly admitting it, they called it "Operation Summit of Fire."

Once again, Israel bombs peace negotiations, and has done so in someone else's country.

https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/news-selections/world-news/explosions-rock-capital-of-qatar-was-this-an-israeli-attack

 >>/54637/
I recently watched a video of an Israeli woman bragging that Israel will do anything they want and can kill anyone they want and even as far as threatening to ruin entire nations. Just literally bragging and saying we won't do shit.

I can see one day Israel does go too far, and they have to deal with Russia and China. Boy would I laugh and get some popcorn ready.

 >>/54639/
I do think she is right. There will be no consequences.

 >>/54640/
They have their own relations with Russia and China, and as far as I know they are all fine. And neither Russia nor China would do anything anyway because of the US.
Tucker Carlson had a good interview recently with John Meirsheimer he did wrote The Book about the Israeli lobby it's worth a listen.
Israeli national football team plays its international matches on the Hungary, because they feel threatened in Western Europe. I don't mind them playing here. But I do think it was a mistake allowing Netanyahu here when he visited last time. He should have been arrested. There would had been consequences to us of course, still that would had been the right thing to do.

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Clement has this thread on twitter about the new fortifications:
https://xcancel.com/clement_molin/status/1965083876453130438
They are in the open, nice view, very impressive.
The Surovikin line had similar impressive lines for the whole world to view. No men in any of them as the 2023 Ukraine offensive started in June. What made the real difference were the troops dug in in the cover of the treelines and bushes.

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https://xcancel.com/M0nstas
This guy publishes the Russian drone/missile attacks they do daily (with larger mass launches every 3-5 days).
It seems he is an Ukrainian, and has a great sense of humour:
> Special Military Provocation

This is really wroth to consider:
https://xcancel.com/M0nstas/status/1965375809071538441
> Russians launched 195 assaults at 58 settlements, fired 5 missiles, made 74 airstrikes targeting 2 settlements, dropped 148 KABs, used 5516 FPVs, and carried out 4989 barrages, including 86 MLRS.
< AFU conducted 6 strikes.
And they telling us they killed 1000 Russians and lost noone.
Also check this specifically:
> carried out 4989 barrages
These are artillery strikes. That is a lot. It's definitely not
> hurr durr artillery plays no role anymore

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Always reminding me locks of hair. Some got into the pierogi today tho.

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First. The drones Russia launches aren't really the returning types. They are more like the V-1 flying bombs.
Second. Polan were telling me Shaheds attacked them, but picrel ain't look like a Shahed/Geran.

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Lots of talk about the murder of a political activist, certain Charlie Kirk on the imageboards (endchan has threads/posts about him now), and I assume on normie social media too, I see videos on youtube, watched Trump talking about him too. Frankly I've never heard of him before, apparently his twitter has 5+ mil followers. I dunno.
I put this here because I think it is related to waging wars in general - beyond the idea that he might be murdered by a state.
I think a "political activist", a microblogger, a youtuber, a "media personality", is a low hanging fruit, compared to a head of state or a PM, or any high ranking official really, or a CEO/shareholder of multinational company giant. He appears publicly with little to no security.
Now the reason why they committed the murder could be anything at the moment, but it is sure that this act was politically motivated - since the victim himself wasn't just a political figure, but he was talking on a political event when he was killed. It's not a random act of violence on the street.

So why this belong here, and why related to waging wars?
When the war on Ukraine broke out, and sanctions were announced, and companies started to announce they'll leave and themselves embargo Russia, many people started to wage their own private wars with their own tools. Some packed and headed to Ukraine to volunteer I'm not talking about military personnel, but actual civilians never served. Some started to write belligerent tweets, some started to block Russian IPs from their services, at least one guy gave his satellites to provide communications for the AFU.
So the war got privatized in a sense. People think they can act on their own, and they do. Now I don't know if the shooter was a private person who thought he had a gutfull of him, or was a professional employed by some govt agency or whatever. But when we arrive to the point that we think we can wage wars against other, ourselves become a belligerent party, private persons became targets. And this mentality seems permeating societies of our time and age.
In an atomized society the definition of the group reduces to the individual, and instead of acting together we act on our own.

As I grew up, the thought of violence was part of daily life. Crimes of gypsies became common, casual brawls during football matches, fistfights over nothing on drunken weekends in the pubs or on the streets. But the thought of murder was a thing of the then recently organized crime, the Wild East times.

Listening Wyatt of DPA. He is totally right, the murder of Iryna Zarutska will be totally overshadowed and she will be forgotten pretty quick.

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 >>/54651/
So these are Gerbera drones.
https://www.jpost.com/defense-and-tech/article-867080
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerbera_(drone)
> decoy
That explains the flyover they weren't targeting anything on the Ukraine, they were there to draw fire. Ukrainian air defense is getting lazy tho...
Also calling every drone a Shahed is liek when in WWII all the tanks were called Tiger by the GI's on the Western front.
> range 600km
Following those flypaths  >>/54646/ eeeeeeeee that's more than 600.

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Some think Russia's objective is to occupy/annex everything East from the Dnepr river.
Jacques Baud in his book (The Russian Art of War: How the West Led Ukraine to Defeat here  >>/54630/) writes this:
In 2014, many voices were raised, in Russia, calling for intervention, as the new regime in Kiev engaged its army against the civilian population of the five autonomist oblasts (Odessa, Dnepropetrovsk, Kharkov, Lugansk and Donetsk)
I highlighted these plus the currently occupied areas (Crimea is not really occupied but de facto Russia, but some would say it is).
They might want those oblasts where they can count on most of the population, ie the "autonomists". From a legality point of view they can say they try to protect the Russian natives from the Ukrainian govt. They also might want to add Mykolaev to round it out.
If they can collapse the Ukrainian army, or the state itself (perhaps the regime could be enough) then they might just take what they see rational.

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This is kinda interesting.
The forming pockets are within the same limits, 15-20 kms in "diameter".
Implications:
- limit of the defensive bubble Ukrainian weapons can provide  (my problem with this explanation: these pockets aren't separate "bubbles" on their own, but part of a defensive line with the same reaching)
- effective reach of Russian weapons which they can close the bulges with "vertical encirclement".
Russians form these, their offensive movements shape the frontline, so for me the second explanations seems that has more impact on these forming, while Ukrainian weapons has some but not decisive effect.

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Trying to understand what's going on in Nepal. Have to admit I know very little about the political landscape of this highland.
So apparently this was a monarchy up until 1990 when King Birendra was forced by a "People's Movement" to democratize, then according to the communist doctrine of "permanent revolution" the Maoists tried to push the system to more and more radical leftist until they did with the royal family what they did with the czar in 2001.
Surviving member of the family pulled back the country from the edge of the communist abyss, and a republic started to form and by 2015 they accepted a constitution.
Since early this year it seems like monarchist feelings are gaining momentum, which led to the toppling of the government in the past few days by a revolutionary mass of people.
Listen little dude quoting the murdered king in his speech in March.
He says
> imperial empire
?
Anyway he mentions unemployment as a problem, just as "selfish games of political parties" and corruption.
The thing about parties: the kingdom for a while run without parties, as the king centralized to an absolute monarchy. But even absolute monarchies can have parties, so to me it sounds more like despotism, but again I don't know how it worked really.
Anyway both this tangent and the quote of Birendra makes it quite clear his speech is the expression of monarchist sentiment.

I wonder if Nepal is being the victim of great power politics. Not just now, but in general. Sandwiched between China and India, but not without US meddling either. USAIDS promoted atheism in Nepal from the tax moneys of the American people.

Returning to this:  >>/54659/
If the bubble metaphor was real - and since weapons generally have the same range in all directions, why their protection wasn't comparable to a bubble or a dome - then centers of bubbles could be located: it's the radius' starting point.
Just bomb the vicinity until the bubble is gone.
Bu defense isn't concentrated in that way, and it's not a hermetic seal.
So again, while the frontline is the result of the interaction of both forces, the primary reason why the front looks like that is the Russian movements. They have the initiative so the impact of their decisions is the more defining.

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> EU spends more money on Russian gas and oil than gives to Ukraine
Who are these countries? Are they gonna tell me that Hungary and Northern Hungary spends more on the Russian fuel than the whole Europe sends to Ukraine?
Seriously?
According to ShatGPT and Grok, in 2024 the two countries spent 5,5 + 3,5 billion Euros on Russian gas and oil. That's €9 billion. Let's say we spent 10 bill every year, thats €30 billion in 3 years (from start of the war till end of 2024).

EU support for Ukraine:
https://op.europa.eu/webpub/com/general-report-2024/en/chapter1.html
The Ukraine Facility
By the end of 2024 [...] over €130 billion to Ukraine and Ukrainians
Military support
$47,3 billion total
Humanitarian assistance and civil protection aid for Ukraine
3.6 billion
Sum: over €180 billion - this is all by the end of 2024.

So who spent on Russian fossils 150+ billion Euros?

Fun thing:
Noone ever says who else buys stuff from Russia. Not even Orbán. The Fidesz media here sometimes mentions that others buy it, or even "everyone" buys it. But never mentioning specifics, like "Germany bought this many", no.
It's a mystery who buys the oil and gas. They just put money under their pillow and by the morning the money disappears and the oil fairy fills up their tanks.
I want to see names.

EU gonna tarrif some goods from Israel and boycott couple of dudes in the top ranks.
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-unveils-plans-hit-israel-with-tariffs-sanctions-amid-gaza-war-outcry/

No video from Matt. I hope he'll recover he still has a lot to go over.
Also this thread soon hits bump limit. I can't believe I samefagged a thread full in one and a half year.

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https://xcancel.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1969745949250453651
Interesting numbers.
North Korea contributed:
* 15,000 troops
* up to 6.7 million artillery shells
* 1.24 million mortar shells
* 878,300 rockets for MLRS
* 248 KN-23/24 ballistic missiles
* 794 howitzers and launchers
Dude is advisor in Ukrainian government, so I assume they work with these numbers. How honest the report I dunno, but sounds plausible.

Other interesting part of the tweet:
> Russia mainly provides food, oil, limited air defense systems, GPS jammers, and possibly aircraft, with little other significant aid or foreign currency.
However as we noticed it here:  >>/52578/ they also gained some other stuff. Not sure how serious their drone industry and palpable their capacity to carry out attacks with them, for the whole thing could be just propaganda.
The tweeter of this tweet has reason to twist the truth.

He's back!
There's a piece in the latest, a segment of a Zelensky interview, where Zelensky says the US can help now and they should. He is right.
Trump said he doesn't help until the EU cuts gas and oil import from Russia. The EU has the plan to phase out Russian fossils, they are executing it too. By 2027 the earliest noone should buy from Russia directly - tho I'm not sure about the exact timeframe, I should look it up, perhaps it's 2030.
So from Zelensky's viewpoint: US would help in 2027 when the EU is done dilly dallying, but the help is needed now. This is why he says the US has the ability to help, so lets go.

Hungarian Defense Forces within its NATO obligation and agreement protects Baltic airspace in rotation with other allied countries. Lately Russian military air traffic seems to find its way over there I think not just because Russians want to violate NATO airspace, but due to NATO - let's call it - encroachment. so NATO planes have to scramble and/or intercept while on patrol.
https://united24media.com/latest-news/hungarian-gripen-jets-intercept-russian-warplanes-near-latvia-in-nato-baltic-air-policing-mission-11968
Link taken from /polru/.

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Whoa.
The ethnic cleansing goes on since Israel was founded. Israel assisted in the Maya genocide and in Rwanda. They chemically castrated thousands of Ethiopian Jews because they were black. It's about time someone says: "hold on".
How many dead in Gaza now? I think 35K was the number last when I checked. Plus hundreds of thousands (up to 400K) missing, buried under the ruins. Each day some war crime committed. They say they want to eradicate Hamas, but what they are doing just radicalize Palestinian youth.
Israel needs a new government. One without Netanyahu and those coalition members who push for drastic measures. The new government should make peace, involve international support and arrange a deal with the Palestinians, acknowledge their state.
Then start conversation, trade, civilian cooperation, sporting events, all the liberal crap that makes them recognize they are people on both sides.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/netanyahu-un-speech-israel-gaza-b2834372.html

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Matt in recent videos (such as today) he talks about false flag events, when and why states use false flags. Today he presented a Telegram post from a woman working for the Press Dept. of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The post describes a Ukrainian planned false flag operation against Poland and Romania to create casus belli for NATO to enter the war.
This woman cites "several Hungarian media outlets" that reported about the sabotage.
For now I found one that pointed to another which seems to be the origin of the news. This is Pesti Srácok, I made a screenshot of the relevant part, it's at the end of the article. Link:
https://pestisracok.hu/vezercikk/2025/09/haboru-ukrajnaban-terkep-allohaboru-hazugsag

The core topic of the article is how much territory the RuAF captures in 2025, then the author writes about Ukrainian terror attacks against civilian population, Ukrainian disinformation, then tells a joke, then comes the false flag event.
He introduces it by stating "the wind blows curious news over Telegram". No link to source. And he goes on telling that the SBU plans to organize attacks and bombings in Romania and Poland against logistical hubs where weapons run through to Ukraine. The attacks will be carried out by Russian produced drones, launched from Western-Ukraine. Kiev would follow this up by a media campaign to blame Russia for the attacks. They'd use repaired Gerans intercepted during earlier attacks.

So the sourcing is a bit circular. A Telegram channel points to Hungarian paper which points to a Telegram channel. Well, the latter not really points to anywhere just mentions it, and the first one says "several papers" and I'm not sure the where the link points - since I've no Telegram to check.

Additional information:
Pesti Srácok is a "near Fidesz" media outlet. Their articles written in tabloid, vulgar language, with quite belligerent tones, often resorting to namecalling and whatnot. They are literally for pouring oil on the fire, to stir up emotions.

I think this is a rewritten script based on the recent Gerbera flew ins to Poland. It is possible to do it, so plausible, but is it a reality?

Latest from the radio:
Trump said after UN speech it's okay for Hungary and Northern Hungary to purchase fossils from Russia since they have no coastline and ports.
Orbán wrote him earlier about this issue.

Some people say that
> other countries could drop Russian oil while having no coast and ports, there is the Czech Republic
Well the Czech Republic just buys it via a proxy. Apparently a private entity buys up the oil arriving here then sells it to them. I wonder who it is.
Maybe Trump will buy up the oil and gas and sell it us if we behave good.

Anyway I tried to get written source on the original, for now nothing turned up.

From Hungarian news:
- Our govt "blocked" 16 Ukrainian media outlets. I assume the ISPs, with DNS block. Not sure which ones. May test it sometimes.
- Real Russian provocations: drones in Polan, fly-ins over the Baltic
- Suspected but not provable Russian provocations: the drone incursions over Skandi airports. They say bunch of Russian ships pass the Skagerrak, any can carry any drones.
- I seen a map about this: Ukraine says Hungarian drones flew into Ukraine, but on the map both the start and endpoint of the drones are within Ukraine. Should look up what's up.
- No matter what any Western politician says, Hungary can't be left out from the Drone Iron Curtain - or whatever it is called - since Hungary is on the Eastern border of NADO and EEYU.

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This is interesting. Well otherwise wouldn't post it, would I.
The Global Sumud Flottila.
These are some dudes and Gerter sailing to Gaza trying to break the Israeli blockade and deliver humanitarian aid to the Palestinians. The ships were already attacked by drones, which dropped "incendiary devices".
Real interesting details: the sea blockade started in 2007, not after 2023. In 2010 similar flottila left Turkey with similar goals, 9 of the activists - others called them militants - were killed.
Israel claims the blockade is legal by international law.

https://globalsumudflotilla.org/tracker/
https://casebook.icrc.org/case-study/israel-blockade-gaza-and-flotilla-incident

More on:
DPA from 4 days ago
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=GkgSf-CMwjU
https://youtube.com/watch?v=GkgSf-CMwjU

Neutrality Studies from yesterday
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=VjGLCJNIQ8o
https://youtube.com/watch?v=VjGLCJNIQ8o

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They are approaching and their ships are getting intercepted.
They have pre-prepared videos they release as they get arrested by Israelis. These are published on site.

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This French lad put a time-lapse video up to his twitter.
Frontline change from 2023 June 01 to 2025 September 29. Over two years starting the Ukrainian offensive to... I can't name a specific event, since 2023 October the Russians are on one continuous offensive.

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Surprisingly his sounds fairly rational and acceptable. At least from my viewpoint, god Allah Tengri knows what Hamas is thinking.
I think however this rebuild and whatever shouldn't be done from Zionist capital, ie. Trump and pals.
This cannot be done without foreign capital, pretty sure Palestinians has little to invest in. But I do think they should be given loans, perhaps not from banks, but from other states, and give them a chance so themselves can be owners on their land, so they learn how to prosper on their own without Hamas ruling them over.
picrel is from Al Jazeera

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So latest Real Reporter video is about gas prices and fuel supply, oil industry and Ukraine drone strikes.
https://yewtu.be/watch?v=CxXbzN-vjeA
https://youtube.com/watch?v=CxXbzN-vjeA
I remembered Survival Russia doing couple of videos when the sanction started back in early 2022, to show what is the effect. He did a bit of footage of oil prices too. So I thought I put two screenshot together.
Three years of inflation.

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Seems like peace is achievable in Gaza, at least both Hamas and Israel agreed on it. Large peace conference is expected with many participants, both from the Middle East and Europe. It will be chaired by Trump and al Sisi of Egypt.
Trump talks in the Knesset right at the moment. Previously Witkoff arrived to prepare the field, when he mentioned Netanyahu the audience booed. Fun.
Exchange of prisoners is happening too.
Read somewhere a title that various Palestinian groups fighting each other (specifically with the Hamas).

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Border clashes are reported between Afghanistan and Pakistan.
Some Taliban groups which active in Pakistan has bases within Afghanistan and the Pak targeted these with airstrikes, last Thursday really. On Oct 9th.
In response Talibans did some wild shooting through the border. The Pakistan retaliated to the retaliation. Number of people died on both sides.
https://apnews.com/article/afghanistan-pakistan-kabul-blast-594e4bf0291d6895568070a871415933
https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-afghanistan-border-6089d7b9cf33d2dcac365808ad3dad53

In the past Pakistan attacked into the territory of her neighbour in fact they did this during the US occupation all the time.
https://apnews.com/article/pakistan-afghanistan-militant-camp-air-strikes-1eb6ebd92403795d03856b1b97cac0da
And their border forces also had clashes between them:
https://www.azernews.az/region/220624.html

Backdrop for the events seems to be the Afghani integration into the regional foreign politics. The Taliban regime sought out all the neighbours, but they seem to be on odds with Iran and Pakistan, while building good relations with everyone else, Russia, China, the *stans, and most importantly at least in relation to this issue India.
Might be important to consider that Pakistani regime is the client of the United States, and that recently Trump stated they might want the Bagram airbase back. But maybe this just adds to the attention and not to the actual conflict.

Fun fact. India did similarly to Pak, how Pak did Afghanistan. They are on the receiving and the giving end apparently.

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Here's Afghani/Taliban Ministry of Defense twitter:
https://xcancel.com/MoDAfghanistan2
But only Allah knows what they are tweeting. Lotsa nice photos tho.

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So the leaders of the US, Egyp, Turkey, and Qatar signs a document that outlines "rules and regulations" of the ceasefire implementation between Hamas and Israel  >>/54719/
I'm not sure the real importance.
In theory the US has the power to force Israel to keep what's agreed on, Qatar has working relation with Hamas, Egypt is a direct neighbour, and Turkey is an important regional power with strong influence on Syria.
But then why not the Saudis?
I also see that Iran was marginalized so much, they don't seem to pay mind for them, even tho, Hamas is a proxy of theirs. Perhaps it's not true anymore.
And I'm curious if Egypt is a US client now. Israel yes, Turkey yes, Qatar I assume yes (US has basing rights there, it usually comes with the status).
> The main U.S. military base in Qatar is Al Udeid Air Base, which serves as a key logistics and command hub for U.S. operations in the Middle East. It is home to the U.S. Air Forces Central Command and hosts thousands of military personnel and various aircraft.
Ah this sounds like a very much yes in case of Qatar.

I might look up Egypt status somehow. This could be a good starting point perhaps.
https://www.americansecurityproject.org/national-security-strategy/u-s-bases-in-the-middle-east/

Also I think last post in the thread, it hit bump limit.