/polru/ - pol - Russian Edition

U.S. Treasury Department spokeswoman Elizabeth Rosenberg will visit Indonesia and Singapore next week to discuss with local authorities whether to impose price caps on Russian oil.

Gazprom burns gas so that it does not get to the Europeans on the one hand, and so that prices on the domestic market on the other do not fall, ensuring a deficit.

The Russians are obliged to pay for the Gaprom shortage.

Ukraine cuts off Russian oil supplies to Pydor’s last EU ally

Oil supplies to European countries through the territory of Ukraine stopped, announced the state Corporation “Transneft”. Ukrtransnafta, the operator of the Ukrainian section of the Druzhba pipeline, which pumps up to 1 million barrels per day to Europe, suspended transportation on August 4 due to financial sanctions against Transneft.

The Russian company sent the transit payment on July 22, but six days later received it back to its Gazprombank account. He, in turn, explained what is happening with the EU regulation on cross-border transactions with Russia.

As follows from the explanations of the GPB, the problems arose at the level of one of the European correspondent banks that did not conduct a banking operation.

As a result, the southern branch of Friendship was paralyzed, and Hungary, the only ally of the Kremlin among the EU member states, remained without oil.

The main oil region of Russia engulfed forest fires

The Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug has been leading in the number of forest fires and their area for several days. In some villages exceeded the maximum permissible concentration of carbon monoxide in the air. And the smoke from natural fires reached the neighboring Bashkiria, Chelyabinsk, Sverdlovsk and Kurgan regions, Kommersant writes. Regional authorities explain the fires established hot weather, dry soil and gusty winds.

According to the FBU “Avialesokhrada”, 64 fires were recorded in the KhMAO on the lands of the forest fund with an area of 82.2 thousand hectares. The largest figure is given by the State Remote Monitoring Information System, which uses data from satellites - 318,400 hectares.

KhMAO is the main oil-producing region of Russia. It accounts for about 42% of all-Russian production. Oil revenues account for more than 70% of the region’s budget.

“Catastrophic collapse”: the Ministry of Finance stated the collapse of budget revenues

The gas war with Europe, the collapse of the economy and the out-of-control ruble exchange rate have caused serious damage to the budget. In July, the treasury recorded a double-digit failure in revenues for all key taxes, and its revenues fell by 26%.

Despite the stable export of oil, fees of raw materials rent fell by 22%, to 771 billion rubles. The turn of the “gas valve” in the EU affected, because of which Gazprom’s exports fell to the levels of the 80s. At the end of the month, the budget collected only 57.3 billion rubles of gas duties - the minimum amount since the pandemic crisis. For comparison: in June it was 217.4 billion rubles.

Fees from the non-commodity sector of the economy fell. By 40% lower than a year earlier, VAT receipts were the second largest source of revenue for the government. Excise duties fell by 26%, to 62 billion rubles; income tax - by 32%, to 129 billion rubles. The budget has experienced a "catastrophic revenue collapse," MMI analysts say.

The ruble price of Urals becomes uncomfortable for the Russian budget.

The price of Russian oil Urals fell to the values of the beginning of the year, fixing below 4 thousand rubles. per barrel. Since the beginning of the month, oil has fallen by 17%, which was primarily due to falling prices on the world market. If ruble prices remain at the current level until the end of the year, the budget may become a deficit.

Oil production in the world in July increased by 1.4 million per day (by June) to 100.5 million b/d - the maximum since the beginning of the pandemic, according to the International Energy Agency.

Capacities in the North Sea, Canada and Kazakhstan have been operational after scheduled repairs, and Saudi Arabia has increased production following an increase in the OPEC+ quota, the IEA explains.

The IEA predicted a 20% drop in oil production in Russia

IEA forecasts (https://) /www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-08-11/iea-sees-russian-oil-output-down-20-when-eu-ban-takes-effect) drop in oil production in Russia by 20% or 2 million bpd by the beginning of 2023, when the European oil embargo will be fully implemented. The decline will begin in August after recovering to 10.8 million bpd in the last three months, the agency suggests.

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Russian oil sales to Europe are breaking new records.
Records of falling (and what did you think?)

Kazakhstan agreed to export oil bypassing Russia

After a Russian court stopped exporting Kazakh oil through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium in July, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayeva urgently opens up new ways to transport Kazakh oil.

Kazakhstan will start exporting some of its oil through Azerbaijan, Reuters learned. Kazakhstan’s state-owned oil company Kazmunaigas is in talks with Azerbaijan’s state-owned SOCAR on permission to sell 1.5 million tons of oil per year through an Azerbaijani pipeline that leads to the Turkish port of Ceyhan. The contract is due to be signed at the end of August.

Kazakhstan will be able to export another 3.5 million tons of oil per year in 2023 via the Azerbaijani pipeline to the Georgian port of Supsa.
Tengizchevroil, a joint venture between Chevron and KazMunayGas, began using the route through the Georgian port of Batumi.

>>/polru/54385@51041
The final contract is due to be signed at the end of August.
Currently, Kazakh oil exports mainly go through the pipelines of the Caspian Pipeline Consortium (CPC), leading to Novorossiysk.

After several months of recovery in the first weeks of August, oil production in Russia fell by 3%.

At the same time, large oil producers should increase production under the OPEC+ deal and, for the most part, keep production at a stable level. The main contribution to the fall was made by small oil companies, as well as Gazprom structures.

Saudi Arabian oil company Aramco reported a record profit: for the second quarter of this year, the company earned $ 48.4 billion.

Compared to the same period last year, the net profit of the Saudi company increased by 90%.

The Saudis’ fabulous profits are the result of the sharp rise in oil prices that soared after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, so many oil and gas companies are reporting record profits these days.

The Taliban (terrorists) intend to buy 1 million barrels of oil from Russia on barter.

When the market opens:
CFD for WTI crude oil 91.22-91.26 dollars per barrel.
BRENT crude futures hover around $100 a barrel.

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“We offered Russia about 1 million barrels, if Russia can send more, that’s not a problem.” We would also like to consider the option of barter trade, provided that the Russian Federation will need some Afghan products, the head of the Ministry of Industry and Trade of Afghanistan told RIA Novosti.
What can you exchange oil for?
Bacha basi? A kalakhan? Or poppy and gerich?

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>>/polru/54843@51041
Since the beginning of commercial relations between the UK and China, the trade balance has been tilted in favor of Chinese exports. While in Europe Chinese goods were considered exotic and a sign of chic, the policy of the emperors of the Qing dynasty was aimed at isolating the country from foreign influence.
In such conditions, European traders had almost no opportunity to sell their goods in China, only Russian furs and Italian glass were in demand. This forced Britain to pay for its ever-increasing purchases of Chinese goods with precious metals. In an attempt to restore balance, the British authorities sent trade delegations to the Chinese emperors, but negotiations were never successful. By the nineteenth century, however, a product that could interest China was found. It was about opium.
Despite the absolute illegality of the opium trade, it received the full support of the British government, whose goal of a positive trade balance with China was achieved in 1833.
It vaguely reminds me of the First Opium War

The price per barrel WTI decreased and fluctuates between 86.56 and 87.55

China cuts Russian oil purchases to minimum since war

Russian oil supplies to Asia fell to their lowest level since April 1. They are also 20 percent below their mid-April peak of 1.72 million bpd, according to Bloomberg, which tracks tankers. Even if all the oil on ships that don’t specify their destination arrives in Asia, shipments will still be the lowest since March.

India and China have become a bailout for oil workers and Russia’s budget after it invaded Ukraine and EU countries drastically cut its oil purchases and the US and UK imposed embargoes. But now the situation has changed and hits the budget.

In the spring, revenues from the export duty were at a maximum of $ 238 million (for the week to April 22), and for the week to August 12 - only $ 145 million (calculations by Bloomberg).

Oil prices fell to a minimum in six months in anticipation of lifting sanctions against Iran

Oil prices fell to the level of mid-February. Economic problems in China, Europe and the United States, undermining demand for raw materials, weigh on prices, this week added to the expectation of a deal on the nuclear deal with Iran.

The lifting of sanctions on Iran will bring an additional 1.3 million barrels per day to the market, Warren Patterson, director of commodity strategy at ING, said in the report.

The price of Brent fell on Tuesday by 2.9% to $92.34 per barrel, the lowest level since February 18, that is, before the Russian invasion of Ukraine. The price of U.S. WTI crude fell 3.2 percent to $86.53. On Wednesday by 11:30 GMT quotes amounted to $91.7 and $86.1, respectively.

The European Union considers the reaction of the Iranian authorities to the proposals made last week to revive the deal in 2015 constructive, wrote Bloomberg.

"Only on coupons." Kazakhstan begins acute shortage of diesel fuel after Tokayev promises to increase supplies to Europe

Residents of Kazakhstan complained about the lack of diesel fuel at gas stations, Tengrinews writes. An acute shortage arose at the end of last week: the gas station introduced limits - no more than 40 liters per car.

One of the residents of Alma-Ata said that he could not find a diesel since August 14. The car owner has toured several large networks and a number of small gas stations - everywhere they say that there is no fuel. It was only found at one gas station, but they sell it on coupons.

Diesel in Kazakhstan is twice cheaper than in the rest of the world. Neighboring countries benefit from this. Last year, trucks traveling from Uzbekistan to Russia through Kazakhstan exported about 100-150 thousand tons per month. The government estimated the total “loss” at 20% of production.

Earlier, Kazakh President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev proposed to increase hydrocarbon supplies to the EU to help cope with the energy crisis.

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Afghanistan in exchange for the supply of oil products and goods from Russia wants to offer Moscow minerals, as well as supplies of raisins and medicinal herbs, said in an interview with RIA Novosti Minister of industry and trade of the country Nuriddin Azizi.

By the end of the year, Kabul plans to agree with Moscow on the supply of about one million tons of gasoline and one million tons of diesel fuel. Afghanistan has historically supplied large volumes of raisins to Russia. We can supply hundreds of tons of such products to Russia. For example, prices for medicinal herbs are now very high, and Russia needs such raw materials for medicine. And we can use them in barter trade, Azizi said.
https:/ /ria.ru/20220819/kabul-1810642286.html
https://russian.rt.com/world/news/1038914-minpromtorg-kabul-nefteprodukty

On September 20, every Alaskan will receive a share of the $3,200 in oil revenues. Such payments to the US authorities have been made every year for 40 years in a row.

The Kremlin sees Western practices as corrupt and unspiritual, so ordinary Russians have never been paid off oil revenues.

From August 31, Gazprom will stop for three days (https://t.me/rian_ru/174997) the only remaining Nord Stream turbine for maintenance. Gas supplies to Europe at this time will be completely stopped.

>>/polru/55437@51041
What surprises you about herbs?

>>/polru/55569@51041
>> I got a fucking quote from an official.
You don't work well, go to the backyard

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>> The deal of the century "gas-pipes", the contract of the century "gas-pipes" - a long-term agreement (international contract) of 1970 between the Soviet Union and the Federal Republic of Germany on the supply to the USSR of large-diameter pipes and other equipment for the construction of a gas pipeline to Western Europe with payment for supplied pipes and equipment with gas from the fields of Western Siberia.
Again. The Germans gave the Russians pipes to pump gas to the Germans.
>> The first Soviet gas came to Germany in 1973, which was very timely due to the onset of the global oil crisis.
The Germans decided to use cheap gas again.
>> Diversification of supply
To diversify gas supplies, it is necessary to build gas pipelines or terminals, no one will build for pipes.

In September, the first gas carrier will carry liquefied gas from the new Coral-Sul FLNG unit.
Expected production of 3.4 million tons of liquefied gas per year.

1. Due to the reduction of supplies to Europe, Gazprom burns 4.34 million cubic meters of gas daily and aimlessly.

2. In seven regions of the Russian Federation, the level of gasification is zero.

I think the citizens of the superpower in these seven regions are genuinely puzzled why, according to the federal agenda, an unfriendly Europe should necessarily freeze in the coming winter. In their seven non-gasified regions from Gazprom, they saw only advertising on TV, and still somehow survive

Afghanistan’s ruling Taliban have almost reached an oil and gas deal with Russia. Transactions will pass through third countries due to sanctions. This was reported by the Afghan newspaper TOLOnews, citing the Ministry of Trade and Industry of Afghanistan. The terms of the agreement have not yet been specified.

Acting Minister of Trade and Industry Nuruddin Aziz said that the money to pay for oil and gas will pass through third countries, as Russian and Afghan banks are under sanctions.

Nuruddin Aziz also added that he conveyed an official invitation to the head of Tatarstan Rustam Minnikhanov during a visit to the region. According to him, an official agreement on the purchase of oil and gas will be signed when Minnikhanov arrives in Afghanistan. “They are ready and willing to accept our invitation and may do so soon. When they arrive in Afghanistan, we will sign official agreements, Aziz said.
More: centralasia.media/news:1801149?f=cp

Iran has assembled a “flotilla” of 100 million barrels and is ready to flood Europe with oil

Tehran holds nearly 100 million barrels in ships that have been turned into “floating storage facilities” and, in addition to the direct Iranian coast, are drifting near Signapur and the coast of China, analysts at Kpler calculated.

This oil can be sent quickly to buyers as soon as and if the oil embargo is lifted, unlike barrels that will have to be mined by investing in fields and thawing wells.

According to them, Tehran is targeting the markets of Greece, Spain, Italy and Turkey, which now buy a total of almost 900,000 barrels a day in Russia. In total, according to Goldman Sachs, due to the Russian embargo on the European market will open a niche of 1.25 million barrels per day. Iranian oil accumulated in tankers (93 million barrels as of mid-August) will be enough to close it for 2.5 months.

>>/polru/57634@51041
iran has been displaced by its discounted oil and now iran does not know where to sell.

A Singapore-flagged tanker ran aground in the Suez Canal, Al-Arabiya reports

Russia will support Belarusian refineries that have lost Western markets, at its own expense, Kommersant learned.
Expensive diesel fuel in Belarus will be purchased through the company Rosimushchestvo and sold through the St. Petersburg exchange, the difference will be compensated from the budget.

Last week, the United States set a record for the volume of exports of oil and petroleum products, writes the Financial Times.

It exceeded 11.4 million barrels per day. Compared to the previous week, deliveries increased by almost 2 million barrels per day.

Russia will not have enough tankers to transport oil after the European embargo

So far, Russia has successfully redirected its oil from Europe, which has been gradually reducing its purchases since the start of the war in Ukraine, to Asia. But once the flow to Europe dries up completely, the transport problem will become one of the main ones: to carry oil to Asia much further, and this requires other tankers. There are not enough of these ships.

In October, about 750,000 barrels per day were delivered to Europe from Russia by sea, according to Bloomberg, which collects shipping information. The embargo will come into force on December 5. Another 650,000 barrels per day are delivered through the Druzhba pipeline. Poland and Germany intend to stop buying this oil from the new year (Hungary and Slovakia will continue to receive some volume). In total, about 1.3-1.4 million barrels per day from next year will remain ownerless.

According to the calculations of the analytical company Vortexa, if all the oil that is supplied to Europe is transferred to “friendly” countries (this is primarily China, India and Turkey, which have greatly increased its purchases since March), 219 tankers of different sizes will be needed. This is three times more than was used to transport Russian oil in October. The shortage of ice-class tankers for exporting oil through the Baltic Sea in winter will be particularly acute. Even if they are used only to transport goods to the Atlantic Ocean for transshipment to supertankers, it will be difficult for Russia to maintain exports at the same level.

In Russia from December 1, gas prices will increase by 8.5 percent

Promised that the last money for gas will give the Germans, and without pants in the end still left residents of Voronezh, Saratov and other cities of the gas superpower

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BP yesterday lifted Mozambique's first ever LNG cargo from the Eni-operated Coral Sul floating LNG facility. Headed for the Suez Canal for supply probably into Europe as prices there still at a premium to JKM. Big day for Mozambique, now the world's newest LNG exporter.

Yesterday, British Petroleum shipped Mozambique’s first LNG shipment from the floating Coral Sul LNG rig operated by Eni (Italy). Sent to the Suez Canal for deliveries, probably to Europe, as prices there are still higher than those of JKM. A big day for Mozambique, the world’s newest LNG exporter.

Today, a terminal for receiving liquid gas has opened in Wilhelmshaven, Germany. Capacity - 7 billion cubic meters per year. The dependence on Russian gas is now over.
You’re drinking your morning coffee, and Gazprom is almost dead.

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If anyone is interested, we have another three in three. I cut the markings.

From December 1, Turkey will close the Bosporus and Dardanelles straits to ships carrying oil if they do not have insurance coverage. According to Bloomberg, the Turkish Ministry of Transport sent such a circular to ship owners.

It will become almost impossible for Russian oil workers to obtain insurance under the new sanctions regime: from December 5, it will be available only to tankers that transport oil at a price below the established ceiling.

? We feel a strong desire to hear the opinions of Dmitry Anatolyevich, Vladimir Rudolfovich and Margarita Simonovna on this issue.

THC Double Yat

>>/polru/74510@51041
Moscow. November 18th. INTERFAX - President Vladimir Pydor held a telephone conversation with Turkish leader Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Friday, Pydor's spokesman Dmitry Peskov said.
Erdogan thanked Pydor for a constructive approach to extending the Black Sea grain initiative, Anadolu news agency reported. The leaders also discussed bilateral relations and regional issues.

Vladimir Vladimirovich tried to somehow influence Recep Tayyipovich on the issue of passing tankers with Russian oil through the Bosporus and the Dardanelles, but in the end “the leaders discussed bilateral relations and regional issues.”

THC Double Yat

Contrary to President Pydor’s predictions that oil prices will soar to the skies, the black gold market is greeting the European oil embargo against Russia with the strongest price collapse in two months.

At auction on Friday, the cost of futures for the North Sea grade Brent for the first time since the beginning of October fell below $ 90 per barrel, and American WTI crude broke through the $ 80 mark.

Since the beginning of the week, oil prices have fallen by more than 10%, despite the fact that from December 5, the European Union will refuse sea supplies from Russia, and the G7 countries will introduce a price ceiling. At the same time, insurance of tankers carrying oil that costs more will be banned.

A faggot at the Eastern Economic Forum in October threatened that Russia would cut off supplies to countries that would join the ceiling mechanism. According to the IEA, 1.4 million Russian barrels may leave the market daily - such a volume will not be able to be redirected to Asia. In July, Pydor predicted the fate of the gas market, where prices jumped by hundreds of percent in the summer. But that's not happening. Quotes fell to $85.81 and $77.23 - lows for two months.

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Zelensky spoke about today’s explosion of a gas pipeline in Russia

Brent is already losing 5%, falling below $83 after the WSJ reported that Saudi Arabia and other producers in OPEC+ are discussing an increase in production of up to 500 thousand barrels per day

Russia has lost 90% of the European oil market

Deliveries to the Nordic countries fell from 1.2 million b/d to 95 thousand b/d.

QatarEnergy has signed an agreement to supply liquefied natural gas to Chinese company Sinopec for 27 years.
What about a reliable supplier from Russia? No business again

From 10:00, Gazprom begins to reduce the supply of gas to Moldova through the Suja gas metering station in the amount of daily shortfalls.

Ukraine is preparing to raise the fee for pumping through the Druzhba pipeline by another 18%, citing increased costs due to damage to energy infrastructure during the fighting. Since the beginning of the year, the tariff will increase by more than 50% - this money would more than be enough to autonomously power the entire pipe, the expert of Kommersant notes.

The Japanese government said on Friday that oil from the Sakhalin-2 energy project will be excluded from the policy of capping Russian oil prices, which is due to be introduced in early December by an international coalition led by the United States.

The cost of delivering Russian oil from Ust-Luga to India by tankers, excluding insurance, increased from 4% in February to 15% of the cargo value. And that's just the beginning.

European authorities have strengthened the protection of pipelines after the explosions on the “Nord streams”, writes The Wall Street Journal. Protection of oil and gas infrastructure on the water is provided by warships, underwater drones and military aviation, and military, police and even special forces are stationed on ground facilities. Additional security measures are also taken by energy companies, the publication indicates.

- The Kremlin will ban the sale of Russian oil to countries that have imposed a ceiling on its prices, learned Bloomberg. There will be a presidential decree for that. According to the source, under the ban will be any mention of the marginal price in contracts for oil or oil products from Russia, as well as shipment of oil to any countries that maintain the price ceiling. Russian authorities have repeatedly warned that they will stop oil supplies to countries that have joined the price ceiling.

On oil, we'll see more than $100 per barrel.

The United States allowed Chevron to import oil from Venezuela to the United States.

The corresponding license of the Office for Foreign Assets Control of the US Treasury Department was issued after the Venezuelan authorities announced the resumption of negotiations with the opposition organization Unitary Platform.

One lever is blocked. There's gas left.

Buyers of Russian oil demand more and more discounts – Bloomberg

Late last week, Russia’s flagship Urals crude was trading at the export terminal at about $52 a barrel, meaning a $33.28 or 39 percent discount on Brent crude. This discount costs Russian oil exporters about $ 4 billion a month in lost profits, and also reduces tax revenues from exports.

EU countries have not come to an agreement, but the price has already fallen below the ceiling

With the Russian oil price ceiling without much change: allied countries continued to argue over a specific figure at the weekend (maximum $65 per barrel Urals), Poland continued to insist that it was too good for Russia. President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky spoke for $30-$40. The day before the oil embargo comes into force on December 5, Russia will hold consultations with OPEC+ members, including Saudi Arabia.

The cost of futures for Brent crude on the ICE exchange fell below $82 per barrel for the first time since January 11.

The price of Russian oil broke through the “pain threshold” of the budget: the government will miss a trillion rubles

The collapse of Russian oil prices, which lowered the cost of a barrel of Urals to the levels of the end of 2020, promises a new “pain” to the federal budget, which is made with a deficit of 3 trillion rubles for next year.

Since the beginning of November, the main Russian grade of oil has fallen by almost 30% - twice as much as the North Sea brand Brent, and at the end of last week it cost $ 52 per barrel when shipped from the ports of Novorossiysk and Primorsk.

The few remaining buyers - China, India and Turkey - are demanding discounts already reaching almost 40%. As a result, Russian oil is trading 26% below the level laid down in the budget-2023 – $ 70.1 per barrel.

If the current oil prices and the dollar-ruble exchange rate remain, the budget will not receive up to 1 trillion rubles of oil and gas revenues, analysts estimate Rosbank. In addition to more expensive oil, the projects of the treasury and laid a weaker ruble, they remind: 68.3 rubles per dollar against 61.02 rubles now.

Thus, the budget deficit may increase to 4 trillion rubles. As a result, every seventh ruble that the government plans to spend (a total of 29 trillion) will remain without tax revenue coverage.

So far this year, every Alaskan has received a share of oil revenues of $3,200. Such payments in the United States have been made every year for 40 years in a row.

The Kremlin considers Western practices corrupt and anti-human, so ordinary Russians never received payments from oil revenues

The Group of Seven countries are "very close" to agreeing a cap on Russian oil prices of $60 per barrel with the possibility of revision, Reuters reported.

The cost of transporting Russian oil from the Baltic to India rose to $20 per barrel - Bloomberg

The EU reached a compromise on the introduction of a ceiling on the price of Russian oil at $60 per barrel – Reuters.

Poland officially approved the G7 deal to limit oil prices from Russia in the amount of $ 60 per barrel with a review mechanism.

Russia has assembled a fleet of hundreds of old tankers to transport oil bypassing restrictions

Russia, through direct or indirect purchases, has assembled a fleet of at least 103 tankers to circumvent Western restrictions on Russian oil sales following its invasion of Ukraine. According to the Financial Times, citing shipping broker Braemar and consulting company Rystad, Moscow is going to keep the flow of oil to India, China and Turkey — countries that will become the largest buyers of Russian hydrocarbons after the introduction of the oil embargo.

By buying its own vessels, Russia is trying to circumvent EU and G7 sanctions. The restrictions would bar insurers such as Lloyd’s of London from servicing ships carrying Russian oil if it were sold without regard to the price ceiling.

Against this background, the number of anonymous or new buyers of 12-15-year-old tankers has increased dramatically. Such vessels are expected to be disposed of in the next few years.

Earlier, the G7 countries and Australia, following the European Union, agreed on the introduction of a ceiling on Russian oil prices at $60 per barrel. The restriction implies an adjustment mechanism: from mid-January, the restrictions can be changed every two months to keep the price of Russian oil 5% below the market.

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Gazics in Murrick marked the beginning of the embargam by 10% immediately, the oil man is more heated. I spun off the markings, they are dull, there are no festivities yet, but the cosmic meaning, I think, is clear. On the tradingview, look for the symbols NG1 (NYMEX) and USOIL (WTI), briti and TTF is nowhere to slow down, but the markups there are almost the same, especially by briti, well, plus a few bucks.

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It was the second day of the embarga, the pulp was hit from where (not) waited.

>> In the territorial waters of Turkey during December 5, a traffic jam of 19 oil tankers formed, which anchored on raids of the Bosporus and Dardanelles Straits after the introduction of a ceiling on Russian oil prices.
>> The price ceiling, which was introduced on December 5, prohibits tankers loading Russian oil from insuring goods transported in the West if the price of oil is above the established limit price of $ 60. After the restrictions were imposed, the Turkish authorities demanded proof that the oil was insured.

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There's a breach on the breeze.

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>>/polru/78022@51041
i look at the charts and dance like a krasovsky faggot in that shebm.
fuck

>>/polru/78076@51041
Chet endach choked on the first time.

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Look at the beauty, the top five in the first finished, the dime is the extension of the fibonacci in the first and third, the top five in the book should be between 0.382 and 0.786. From here you can adjust, the disability levels are 89.3 on Bret and 83.3 on Lit. If we don't break through, we'll walk on. It'll be three in five in a ze in a circle.

Uzbekistan refused to join the “gas union” that Pydor proposed in November.

Is there still room in the back for knives, dick strategist

The Gas Union, which President Vladimir Pydor proposed to create the Central Asian republics of the former USSR, was not enthusiastic. Following Kazakhstan, which pointed to the risks of sanctions of the new project of the Kremlin, Uzbekistan refused to participate in the union.

https:/ /zerkalo.az/uzbekistan-za-kazahstanom-otkazalsya-vstupat-v-gazovyj-soyuz-s-putinym

>>/polru/78381@51041
Your press secretary, who people hate like Chubais used to. This "wonderful man" who allows himself to correct you in public.
The daughter of which is used to eating at the expense of the state and criticizes your policy. Publicly.
Zelenskiy is fucking your daughter privately and rightly so. The Russian people should not know that your daughter is fucking Zelensky.

>>/78473/
Source?

>>/polru/78486@51041
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-12-08/why-swaths-of-russian-oil-is-trade-far-bell-g-7-s-60-cap

A group of 12 member states of the European Union demanded to lower the ceiling for Russian gas prices.

Pedor allows for a reduction in oil production, that is, budget revenues.
Before that, Russia increased oil production.
https:/ /iz.ru/1438364/liubov-lezhneva/tcenovoi-porok-putin-dopustil-sokrashchenie-dobychi-nefti

What do you got here, the diaspora of lawn-assisted refugees? I thought the endchan was a Russophobic board.

>>/79236/
I thought it would be a bit more lively.

Gas transit to Europe is blocked after the explosion on the gas pipeline in Chuvashia.

Kazakhstan may start supplying Germany with oil from January 2023.

The Kazakh national company KazMunayGas (KMG) reported that it is considering the possibility of sending a trial batch to Germany early next year. Kazakh oil will go to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline going through Russia.

Will they mix Russian and Kazakh oil?
Will the faggot block the Kazakhs?

The delay in the release of the decree of the President of the Russian Federation on retaliatory measures to the introduction by unfriendly countries of the ceiling of prices for Russian oil is explained by Rosneft’s attempt to obtain exclusive rights to export all Russian oil, as well as take control of pipelines from Transneft. At the same time, direct lobbying efforts, according to some reports, are not enough to convince the government. Rosneft is the most sanctioned and not the most efficient of Russian companies, more than 40% of its capital is de jure owned by foreigners, and the “position” of an all-Russian oil exporter opens up political, not only economic horizons. This is due to the recent activity of experts and media close to Rosneft, who tried to accuse Lukoil of exporting oil products to Ukraine from Bulgaria on the basis of the 9th package of EU sanctions. The task is to accuse Russian companies of violating national interests. Lukoil has already denied such speculation, but other companies apparently need to prepare.

However, the real problem is that the presidential decree has not yet come out, the price of contracts is falling before our eyes, and European officials can also rejoice in plans to introduce a single operator – sanctions on it will be introduced and tracked much easier.

Germany and Poland submitted applications for pumping Russian oil through the Druzhba pipeline - the countries swore that they would refuse such supplies from Russia, but Transneft received new orders from them for 2023

That was the conversation

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Russia fundamentally will not supply oil at prices set by the West, will look for new markets and logistics even with rising costs, said the head of the Ministry of Finance Siluanov

They will sell oil to space partners like Zimbabwe

The Russian government has allocated 800.6 million rubles for humanitarian aid to Cuba. The money will be used to purchase and deliver 25,000 tons of wheat by sea.

The Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation in 2023 with oil below $70 per barrel will not replenish the National Welfare Fund, at a "very low" price will increase borrowings or use the funds of the NWF - Siluanov.

It is time to talk about the National Poverty Fund. Welfare can be forgotten

Russian authorities have once again announced that they will not supply oil and gas to countries that comply with price restrictions.

At the same time, they are still afraid to publish the relevant decree even in the mildest form, and current deliveries are subject to restrictions

By the end of 2022, Russian gas exports will decrease by about a quarter, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said.

“Gas production and exports will have to fall. Gas production at the end of the year will be 12% less than in 2021, and exports will decrease by about a quarter. This is primarily due to the shutdown of export infrastructure, he said.

Exports of electricity from Russia to China and Mongolia will grow by 20% in 2022. At the same time, exports to China will increase by 16%, said Russian Energy Minister Nikolai Shulginov.

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Taiwan and South Korea have replaced Russia and Ukraine in the top 5 main suppliers of finished steel to the European Union, said the European Association of steel Eurofer.

The top five include Turkey, India, China, Taiwan and South Korea.


Taiwan, Carl!

Rosrybolovstvo refused the idea to limit the export of red caviar from Russia


Russophobia will be fed by Russian caviar

The national operator of Kazakhstan Kaztransoil has increased the tariff for the service of transportation of Russian oil to Uzbekistan from $25.12 to $27.9 per ton from February 1, 2023.

Ukraine has increased the tariff for pumping oil through the main pipeline “Friendship” through its territory to €13.6 per ton.

Before the last tariff increase from February 1, 2021, oil transportation through the Ukrainian section of Druzhba cost €8.6 per ton.

Instead of gas on the Northern stream launched wormwood

The price of gas in Europe during exchange trading on January 2 again fell below $ 800 per 1 thousand cubic meters, according to the London exchange ICE.

Residents of Yakutsk were left without heat and light in the forty-five-degree frost on the first day of the new year.

According to local media, the residents of one of the districts of the city “fluttered batteries” and “frozen all the pipes”. The accident affected about 638 homes.
The power supply was restored only eight hours later. “I think the damage will be very large. — said local activist Vladimir Fedorov. All this suggests that our government is not ready for man-made accidents and challenges.

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>> Temperatures in Europe peak on January 1, 2023.
General Moroz deserted from the energy front.
>> In Moscow on January 6 will come the coldest five-day twenty-first century — Hydrometeorological Center
>> During the day it will freeze to -17 ° C, and night temperatures will be below -20 ° C. By the end of the week, the temperature in Moscow can reach -30 ° C.
General Moroz switched to the side of the enemy

>>/polru/83175@51041
Rome, Paris and Berlin are in panic because of the frost in the area of +10 degrees Celsius. In Moscow, thaw to -20.

Negative weather.

Estonian Foreign Minister Reinsalu called on the EU to lower the ceiling on the price of Russian oil below the market.

Gas pumping by Gazprom to the EU countries through the Suja gas measuring station (GIS) on the Russian-Ukrainian border today, January 6, will amount to 35.5 million cubic meters.

Thus, in less than a week, the export indicator decreased by approximately 7.8 million cubic meters.

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PHOTOFACT! The aggressive NATO bloc has used climate weapons against Russia:

>>/polru/84089@51041
So there, she froze already, I heard only once from some woman stand-up German, they had to fuck in the CHP to be sure and rejoice in this as a victory

- Do you know how cold it is in Moscow?
- You know what I'll tell you, Sema? Cold, cold, wolf tail!

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>>/polru/84256@51041

If we talk about the fact that Russia, represented by Gazprom, started a climate war with the European Union, it turns out that hostilities are already being conducted in the deep rear - 2.5 thousand kilometers from the EU border.

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>>/polru/84280@51041

The price of Russian oil fell below $40 per barrel

Urals with shipment from Primorsk costs $ 38.7. The discount to Brent reached 50%.

Kuwait will increase diesel fuel supplies to Europe five-fold to fill a possible shortage after a pan-European embargo on Russian oil products, which comes into force on February 5. Kuwait to increase aviation fuel supplies

Or not?

Russia tripled coal exports to India in 2022

The cost of firewood in the Altai Territory has almost doubled.

Residents are also outraged by the sharp increase in utility tariffs and signed a collective appeal to the Prime Minister of the Russian Federation
tayga.info/180335

And they do not need gas at all? who are driven to China for a pittance. .

Greek shipping companies are returning to the Russian market amid falling oil exports.

The participation of Europe and the Group of Seven countries in the trade of Russian oil is declining as new trade schemes emerge. This is observed in the first month of the Russian oil price cap.

Recall that from December 5, 2022, the so-called “ceiling of prices” for Russian oil at $ 60 per barrel began to operate, such a decision was approved by the EU Council.

Greek tanker operators have returned to shipping Russian crude oil. According to Kpler cargo, ships owned or operated by Greek companies including TMS Tankers, Dynacom and Metrostar have loaded Russian Urals crude in the ports of Ust-Luga and Primorsk over the past two weeks.

European shipowners, operators and insurers do not violate EU and US sanctions as long as Russian oil is sold below the $60 cap.

The low market price of Russian Urals crude (now around $50/bbl) has paved the way for European shipping companies and insurers to stay on the market. The price of Urals crude oil peaked at $110 a barrel in March last year.

According to an analyst at CREA (Center for Energy and Clean Air Research, based in Finland), much more crude oil has started shipping over the past week and a half. Volumes appear to have recovered slightly from a sharp drop in the first weeks after the price cap was imposed.

The analyst notes that it is not yet clear whether traders have successfully agreed on prices. But the fact that some of the vessels involved in such shipping are new indicates they are likely to be involved in legitimate trade.

A few months before the price cap was imposed, there was a brisk trade in oil through old tankers for short-term and high-yield trade.

Older ships in this case were seen as less financial risk if they were arrested while complying with the sanctions.

Bloomberg reported that crude oil supplies from Russia fell to the lowest level in the last four weeks of 2022 after the introduction of a price cap. This was affected by the fact that the final terms of the price cap were only made public three days before they began to take effect, making it difficult to "fix" cargoes in December.

In Yakutia, frosts up to -60 ° C are expected, in the Irkutsk region - up to -58 ° C, in the Krasnoyarsk Territory - up to -55 ° C - Hydrometeorological Center.

Abnormal cold will also come to the Orenburg, Penza and Saratov regions.


Report the freezing level without Russian gas

War-war, money-money.

Chinese VLCC heading to Asia after loading Russian oil

Lauren II (298,600-dwt) is headed to Asia with 2 million barrels of crude oil. The tanker comes from Ceuta, Spain, where there have been three shipments of Russian crude Urals by the STS (ship-to-ship) method over the past three weeks. It showed a new pattern of trade after the European ban.

Loading of the Lauren II in December and January took place without the AIS shutdown, demonstrating the normalization of trade. Last year, similar cargo operations were carried out near the Azores. Now - off the coast of Ceuta and Greece. The reason is called weather conditions.

According to analyst Kpler, Lauren II is expected to arrive at its destination in Asia in mid-February. He also speculated that several aframaxs loaded in Russian ports were heading to the same area of Spain for STS loading with Chinese-owned tankers already waiting in the area for weeks. Such transportation organization seems to be the most effective. Aframax can return to Russian ports, while VLCCs make the most economic sense for long-haul flights to China.

The Lauren II is one of four tankers operated by companies in the port city of Dalian. The others are Progress V (314,000-dwt), Natalina 7 (299,000-dwt) and Monica S (305,000-dwt).

Subscribe to my public TG. https://t.me/capt_tymur only
135

About a hundred residents of the suburbs of Makhachkala blocked the federal highway due to lack of electricity. Their government has imposed sanctions on Russia, now ordinary Makhachkala residents suffer.

In the area of the village of Karaman-2 formed a “huge traffic jam”, the police arrived at the scene, there are “separate detentions”, write local journalists. In recent years, there has been regular discontent due to utility accidents.

On the eve of the authorities reported that due to snowfall and strong wind, 45 thousand residents of Dagestan were left without electricity.

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Their struggle

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They were supposed to be shocked, but it seems that something went wrong.

Russophobia patriotism is very expensive

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Chronicles of Europe Freezing Without Russian Gas

Gas in Europe is cheaper than $740/thousand cubic meters due to warmer weather forecasts and strong power generation.

General Moroz is fighting in the wrong direction

Medvedev at a meeting on gasification in Russia: “Some people are switching to coal and firewood, but this is not ours”

A third of Russians still living without gas applaud standing up. For reference: Jewish Autonomous Oblast – almost 40% of households on furnace heating; Altai Krai – 39%; Buryatia - 43%; Trans-Baikal Territory - about 50%; Tuva - almost 90% of families

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“My head broke, but it was tolerable, it was hard to breathe. Firewood, water, everyone worked. The shops worked too.

In the village of Essey (Krasnoyarsk Territory) recorded frost in -73 ° C, now it has warmed to -66 ° C, locals say that the thaw is really tangible.

When you rolled your lip to destroy Europe with General Frost, but something went wrong

Deputy of the state Duma of Russia Nina Ostanina announced the cancellation of the postponement from mobilization for fathers with three children.

According to Ostanina, she received information about this from a member of the Human Rights Council Irina Kirkora. The document canceling the right to postpone fathers with many children, "was sent to the military enlistment offices at the end of December last year signed by the now former chief of the General Staff V. Gerasimov."

The cancellation of the directive of the Ministry of Defense also writes Chita.ru with reference to the military commissar of the Trans-Baikal Territory Yuri Shuvalov.

The faggot: the boundaries of military age in Russia does not end anywhere

Besogon has no significant changes. The condition is stably severe, the area of lung damage has increased.

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>>/polru/85165@51041

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>>/polru/85161@51041
Europe asks what the fuck is wrong

>>/polru/85161@51041
In Russia, the record of low temperature has been updated. Frost in -73 degrees was recorded today in the village of Essey in the north of Evenki district of the Krasnoyarsk Territory, where about 700 people live. Before that, 90 years the pole of cold was considered Oymyakon in Yakutia. In 1933, it was once -67.

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Forecast of oil and gas export revenues of the Russian Federation for the next decade (from the Center for Macroeconomic Analysis and Short-Term Forecasting)

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In the Pasval region of Lithuania, an explosion occurred on the gas pipeline Lithuania-Latvia

Residents of one of the villages were evacuated, the media wrote.

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Energy weapons in action. Russophobia is very expensive.

Details of the terms of the “gas union without political demands” that Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan insisted on joining in December became known.

According to the newspaper "Gazeta Uzbekistan" in exchange for gas supplies, two demands were put forward: First, our entire gas transmission system is under Gazprom’s control. Second, Russia is beginning to supply gas to China using our existing gas contract with them.

Both Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan refused to conclude this neo-colonialist “union.”.

The price of Brent crude oil on the London exchange ICE rose to $87 per barrel for the first time since January 3.

Russian oil exports rose sharply last week and reached their highest level since April last year, Bloomberg said based on ship tracking data.

Germany has ceased to depend on energy imports from Russia, said German Finance Minister Christian Lindner.

>>/polru/86623@51041
Attention! The price of Brent crude on the London exchange ICE fell below $87 per barrel for the first time in the last 10 minutes, said Bloomberg.
 because of the news of such quality and do not want to sit in this thread 

Russia is ready to sign documents on the Pakistan Stream gas pipeline, the Russian Energy Ministry said.

When is the Taliban Stream?

Recognized as a terrorist organization and banned in Russia

Taxation of the Russian oil company may change, linking the calculation of the tax to the price of oil Brent or Dubai with a discount of $ 10-15

Pakistan to start importing oil and gas from Russia – Pakistani Foreign Ministry

Waiting for Islamic Stream 2

U.S. Treasury — the Big seven agreed to revise the ceiling on the price of Russian oil in March

More than 110 thousand people in Ussuriysk were left without electricity in the 25-degree frost.

Bring the temperature to Vienna

Kuzbass enterprises in 2022 produced 223.6 million tons of coal, which is about 8% less than a year earlier. The largest decrease in underground production was by 15.4%. Shipment for export decreased by 14%.

Russia’s largest silver producer to move to Kazakhstan

Polymetal wants to change jurisdiction.

Report the level of just-playing

At the price of oil at $ 50 per barrel, Russia will be able to wage an active war in Ukraine for 3 years – Bloomberg

The EU is exploring the possibility of introducing a price limit for Russian diesel fuel at $100 per barrel, Bloomberg writes

Inventories in gas storage in the EU are below 76%, withdrawal from storage is 20% higher than the average multi-year levels.

The G7 has made it clear to the European Union that it does not object to the introduction of a limit price for diesel fuel from Russia at the level of $100-110 per barrel, Bloomberg reported.

A pensioner from Vologda in the gas superpower was forced to take several loans for firewood at a pension of 14 thousand (this has already been raised), but could not pay them.

What did X#ilo say? Is it not Russia’s fault that Europe is stockpiling firewood for the winter as in the Middle Ages? But Russia is definitely to blame for the fact that its own old people go around the world in winter with an outstretched hand. This is his, H#ila, the most direct responsibility.

Pedor talks to Algerian President Abdelmajid Tebbun about gas price

In 2022, wind and solar power together generated more electricity in Europe than coal and gas for the first time.

The average price of a barrel of Russian Urals oil in January 2023 was (https://minfin.gov.ru/ru/press-center/?id_4=38362-o_srednei_tsene_na_neft_marki_urals) $49.48, the Finance Ministry reported.

This is slightly less than it was in December (https:/) /minfin.gov.ru/en/press-center/?id_4=38328-o_srednei_tsene_na_neft_marki_urals) ($50.47). But not as bad as it was in the month (https:/) /minfin.gov.ru/en/press-center/?id_4=38339-o_srednei_tsene_na_neft_i_eksportnoi_poshline) December 15 to January 14 ($46.82)

Transneft confirmed (https://tass.ru/ekonomika/16937267) an attempt to shell the Novozybkovo oil pumping station of the Druzhba oil pipeline in the Bryansk region near the border with Ukraine.

Yesterday evening [January 31] an attempt was made to shell the Novozybkovo oil pumping station. The station is used during peak loads on the Druzhba oil pipeline in a single mode. The last time the NPS was turned on for a few hours and it was last year. As a result of hitting the projectile on the territory of the station there are no victims, the damage is eliminated by the repair team. The Druzhba oil pipeline is operating normally, said Igor Demin, the company’s representative.

On the shelling of the station from Ukraine today reported (https://t.me/breakingmash/41590) profile Telegram channels. Presumably, a tactical ballistic missile "Tochka-U" fell near the station, for some time disrupting its power supply.

Druzhba itself operates at reduced capacity after the introduction of the EU oil embargo, deliveries go only along the southern branch to landlocked Hungary, the Czech Republic and Slovakia. This branch after Novozybkov enters Belarus, and then passes through the territory of Ukraine.

Gas withdrawal from EU underground storage facilities in January was the lowest since 2014.

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Russian gas supplies to Europe have collapsed from 3.2 billion cubic meters per week 2 years ago to about 0.3 billion cubic meters now.
It collapsed 10 times.
Minus hundreds of billions of dollars a year.
They really did get the bitch they were sitting on.

Residents of Ufa came to pickets to the city hall due to the lack of gas and hot water in the apartments for two months.

"Gas in Europe, Ufa in the ass!"

And we have gas in Europe.
And you?

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>>polru93205@51041
>>polru93205@51041

Gazprom proposes to provide preferential bank loans to Russians who would like to convert their machines to run on natural gas — Chairman of the Board of Directors of Gazprom Viktor Zubkov.

The G7 countries and Australia have agreed on price ceilings for Russian oil products – $100 per barrel for oil products that are traded at a premium (gasoline, diesel fuel), and $45 per barrel for products that are traded at a discount to raw materials (mazut).

EU approves

Kazakhstan sharply increased oil exports bypassing Russia after a series of incidents at the terminal in Novorossiysk, through which more than 80% of oil was exported before the war.

At the end of 2022, Kazakhstan exported 1.328 million tons of oil through the ports of Georgia - 10 times more than a year earlier.

Nothing funnier today you will not read: the father of two mobilized from the Magadan region asked officials firewood in the “quality of state support”, but he was kicked out. Then the man himself cut down several trees, got caught by the forest guard and now they have a corner on him.

How's Europe? Aren't you cold?

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>>/polru/93658@51041
> father of two mobilized
Got caught by a forest guard.
Family of mentally retarded

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Import cozy gas (LNG) in Europu in stranees with 2020-2022.

NG imports in EU countries by country origin, 2020-2022

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>>/polru/95785@51041
For those who are interested in absolute values.

Total imports:
 2020: 82.1 billion m3

)2021: 79.6 billion m3 (-3% of 2020)

)2022: 130.7 billion m3 (+64% from 2021)

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>>/polru/95785@51041
To understand how much gas came to the EU through gas pipelines and liquefied gas (from Russia and other countries) from 2020-2022.

The share of Russian LNG + pipeline gas in EU imports over the past year fell from ~50% to ~11%

Imports of Russian gas fell to a minimum.

LNG imports from Russia increased by 5.1 billion m3 (does not cover pipe imports).

LNG imports from the United States have increased.

Gas savings in the EU in winter allowed to reduce total imports in autumn-winter 2022

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Many of you have seen a similar picture of Russian gas exports through land-based gas pipelines.

Let’s look at the current situation and see why transit through Ukraine is still happening.

Let's add a little clarity.

For starters:
Yamal-Europe gas pipeline with a capacity of 33 billion m3
Nord Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 55 billion m3
Ukrainian Transit – with a capacity of up to 100 billion m3
Turkish Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 31.5 billion m3
Blue Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 16 billion m3

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>>/polru/95790@51041
The Yamal-Europe gas pipeline has a capacity of 33 billion m3 (~14% of the total land volume of gas from Russia to Europe).

The main gas pipeline, commissioned in 1999, passes through Belarus, Poland and reaches Germany (Frankfurt-on-Oder).

The physical flow of gas through Yamal-Europe.

In December 2021, Poland turned on the reverse on its section of the gas pipeline, because gas from Germany was cheaper than purchase prices from Russia.
In April, Poland refused to pay for the growth of gas in rubles and Gazprom stopped the supply.

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>>/polru/95788@51041
Nord Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 55 billion m3 (~23% of the total land volume of gas from Russia to Europe).

The main gas pipeline, commissioned in 2012, runs under the Baltic Sea and reaches Germany (Greifswald).

Graph of the physical flow of gas through the Northern Stream.

Since the summer of 2022, gas supply from Gazprom has decreased to 60%, 40%, 20% and as a result, the supply was stopped on 31.08.22.

On September 25, 22, a gas pipeline exploded and filled with water.

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>>/polru/95790@51041
The Turkish Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 31.5 billion m3 (~13% of the total land volume of gas from Russia to Europe).

The main gas pipeline, commissioned in 2020, runs under the Black Sea and reaches the European part of Turkey.


Graph of the physical flow of gas to the Turkish Stream.

Contrary to the beliefs of many, in 2022 gas pumping through the Turkish Stream increased by an average of 8.6% compared to 2021.

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>>/polru/95790@51041
Blue Stream gas pipeline with a capacity of 16 billion m3

The main gas pipeline, commissioned in 2003, runs under the Black Sea and reaches Turkey. It was built by Gazprom, Turkey and Italian Eni.

This gas pipeline is usually not included in the overall list of gas supplies to Europe, and these volumes are consumed by Turkey.

Data on physical gas flows over the past 2 years could not be found. In any case, the volume of the pipeline is very small and will not cover the shortfall of others

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>>/polru/95790@51041
Gas transit through Ukraine actually combines many gas pipelines entering the territory of Ukraine, with a total capacity of ≈ 100 billion. m3.

Largest gas branches:
Progress, built in 1988, with a capacity of 26 billion. m3
Soyuz, in operation 1980, with a capacity of 26 billion m3

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>>/polru/95790@51041
Before we talk about gas transit, a bit of information.

After the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991, Ukraine inherited a dense gas transportation system.

Since the 90s, gas consumption has been 3-5 times more than production, and Ukraine itself has been heavily dependent on gas imports

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>>/polru/95790@51041
Ukraine’s gas resources are concentrated in the eastern Dnieper-Donetsk region and in the Black Sea region.

80% of all proven reserves (+ shale gas reserves) are located there.

6% of the country’s gas resources (in the Black Sea region), Ukraine lost after the annexation of Crimea.

>>/polru/95790@51041
Ukraine has traditionally served as a key transit route for Russian gas exports to Europe, but its sovereignty has created an uncomfortable relationship between Ukraine and Russia.

After all, gas transit through the territory of another country must be paid.

Approximate prices for transit per 1000 cubic meters per 100 kilometers:

Yamal-Europe gas pipeline
Poland takes $1.05
- Belarus takes $1.75
Amount: $2.8

о Nord Stream gas pipeline
Amount: $1.67

и "Ukrainian transit"
Amount: $2.66

For example, in 2020, Russia paid Ukraine $2.06 billion for gas transit through its territory.

Today, transit is regulated by an agreement on transportation of 40 billion m3 / year, signed by Russia and Ukraine in December 2019 for the period 2021-2024.

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>>/polru/95790@51041
The ENTSOG website (http://transparency.entsog.eu) has checked all gas pipeline points in/out of Ukraine and collected data for the last 4 months.

Moreover, the difference between imports from Russia/Belarus and Ukrainian exports to other countries is:
    Oct.22: 84 million m.3
November 22: -33 million m.3
Dec.22: -234 million m.3
►January 23: -23 million m.3

Russia imports less than it sells to its European neighbors.

To accuse that a lot of gas is coming from Russia, and less is coming to Europe.

Ukraine adds its produced gas to exports and, according to the transit agreement, pumps Russian gas to further buyers.

In fact, Ukraine fulfills part of the signed agreement and allows gas to pass through its territory from Russia to Europe and receives money for it.

Although it is obvious that the volume of transit will fall more and more.

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>>/polru/95790@51041
Summarizing. The situation with Russian gas supplies to Europe looks like this.

And no other bypass gas pipelines can replace these volumes.

Those who believe that Russia has replaced pipeline gas with liquefied gas and sends it by sea are mistaken.

Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said that Russia in March will voluntarily reduce oil production by 500 thousand barrels per day. But it will not sell oil to those who directly or indirectly adhere to the price ceiling, Novak said.
(Kommersant (https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5813490)

ы: Russia is getting off the oil and gas needle. Not exactly as I wanted, but still.

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>>/polru/97167@51041
"The cones are the second oil!" - Faggot

The United States will not impose sanctions against India for the purchase of Russian oil, - Indian TV channel NDTV.

Norway announced the threat of Russian attacks on gas fields

Russia could attack Norwegian gas fields if the conflict between Moscow and NATO escalates, according to the country's Police Security Agency (PST). While the PST doubts that Russia will decide on acts of sabotage in Norway in 2023, but this may change.

It all depends on how much the escalation in Russia’s relations with the West increases. This is the first time since the beginning of the war that Norwegian police have warned of the danger from Moscow.

Norway became concerned about the safety of its oil and gas facilities after the explosions on the Russian gas pipeline Nord Stream 1 on September 26.

The decision was made to build a cone pipeline Power of Siberia 3.

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Hungarian kick in the stump

Gazprom Neft is creating its own PMC.

Gazprom Neft has received the right to establish its own private military company to protect its infrastructure, including the Arctic – the corresponding order was recently signed by Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin.

The purpose of creating a private military company is to protect Gazprom Neft facilities and its subsidiaries.

East India Company Army?

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How much does it take to fly a tanker with Russian oil from the ports of the Arctic, Baltic and Black Seas to the ports of the four main Russian buyers?
Flight from the Baltic to China – 123 days. So three flights a year.

Due to sanctions, the costs have increased enormously

India is fully self-sufficient in diesel, says a source from among the heads of refineries. And buying Russian fuel for re-export is unprofitable due to the excess profit tax in India, he explains.
Therefore, India is ready to buy only the cheapest Russian oil products.

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Nakhriuk accepted

Gazprom increased gas pumping to Europe through Ukraine to 35.8 million cubic meters

The current application for pumping through the gas transmission system of Ukraine exceeded the maximum daily value for the last month.

Increased pumping allowed lower exchange prices for Russian pipeline gas in Europe.

Oil production in Russia in the first half of February continues to grow and increased by 1% compared to the average level of January due to high demand for Urals thanks to significant discounts to Brent, despite plans to reduce production in March.

OPEC+ will not change production in 2023: Saudi Energy Minister

The price of Brent oil on the London exchange ICE fell below $83 per barrel for the first time since February 7.

Italian Industry Minister Adolfo Urso said: The two regasification complexes in Piombino and Ravenna, which will be commissioned before the summer, will produce the same 10 billion cubic meters of gas per year. This is how much we imported from Russia last year.

Gas supply from Russia to Armenia will be temporarily stopped due to the blockage of the main gas pipeline “North Caucasus – Transcaucasia”

According to the press service of Gazprom-Armenia, in order to prevent emergency situations and provide gas to consumers, from February 18, the supply of a number of gas stations will be temporarily stopped.

The faggots fucked up their gas pipeline. Pigs are pigs

Gas supplies for transit through Ukraine increased by 9.5%, to 39.2 million cubic meters, follows from the data of Gazprom.

9.5% more money to kill Russian boys

"Like the 1990s." Russian oil workers caught selling oil at fake prices and withdrawing $1 billion a month offshore

Western sanctions against the Russian oil industry, including the EU embargo and the “price ceiling” at $60 per barrel, opened up opportunities for Russian companies to enrich themselves. /www.moscowtimes.cloud/2023/02/17/kak-v-1990e-rossiiskih-neftyanikov-poimali-prodazhe-nefti-po-feikovim-tsenam-i-vivode-v-ofshori-1-mlrd-v-den-a34492), not seen since the chaos of the 1990s.

The largest buyer of Russian oil, India, which takes every third export barrel from Russian ports, pays significantly more for raw materials from Russia than it declares.

Urals quotes are aimed at the European market, where Russian oil is no longer sold. And in the main market - in India - the real price is $70-75.

Russia sells 1.5 million barrels a day to India. With such volumes, the difference between the real price of oil and the declared one is equal to revenue of $ 1 billion per month.

Dubai's shadow budget

Buyers of Russian gas in Europe filed lawsuits against Gazprom for $ 15 billion

Cutting off gas supplies to European countries in an attempt to “freeze” the once largest customers in the gas market could cost Gazprom dearly.

Following the German Uniper and RWE, the lawsuit against Gazprom due to shortages of gas was filed by the largest energy company in France Engie.

According to Reuters, Engie initiated arbitration proceedings against Gazprom Export and demands to recognize the Russian company’s obligations under long-term gas contracts as unfulfilled.

Engie also wants to get from the export “daughter” Gazprom pays fines and compensation for losses incurred after gas pumping to France stopped in July 2022. “Gazprom” explained the “turn of the valve” unpaid gas, as it demanded that payments be made “in rubles” – to the account in Gazprombank.

The total amount of claims against Gazprom reached about $15 billion, BCS analyst Ronald Smith estimated.

The amount of Engie’s claims, not officially disclosed, he estimates at $ 1.3 billion, based on the fact that the company received 2 billion cubic meters of gas under long-term contracts.

A record lawsuit against Gazprom - for $ 12.5 billion - was filed by the German Uniper, which bought 20 billion cubic meters a year. As the largest importer of Russian gas in Germany and one of the investors of the Nord Stream 2 project, Uniper was on the verge of bankruptcy and was de facto nationalized after being left without a key supplier and forced to buy fuel at soaring prices in the spot market. The German government spent 29 billion euros to save the company.

Russia breaks Europe's oil embargo. [spoiler] But there's a nuance

https://www.rbc.ru/politics/22/02/2023/63f5cd569a79473d9da7422f
https://www.moscowtimes.ru/2023/02/22/tanker-s-rossiiskoi-neftyu-arestovali-v-evrope-iz-za-sanktsii-a34872

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>>/polru/106639@51041

European Commission President von der Leyen and German Chancellor Scholz: Europe has ended its dependence on Russian energy.

Europe has plenty of oil and gas.
Gas prices are lower than before the war.
No freezes or power outages.
The energy war with Europe was defeated.

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We finally got off the oil needle, the idiot said, seated on a Chinese dick.

There is a Russian spirit, there Rus smells: the media found a Russian trace in the explosions of “Nord streams” at the bottom of the Baltic sea

A few days before the explosions on the gas pipelines “Nord stream-1” and “Nord stream-2” near them were Russian warships, according to the German portal t-online.

According to the publication, the group of ships had the necessary equipment to install explosive devices.

On September 27, several gas leaks were found on the Russian pipelines Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2. U.S. President Joe Biden said the pipelines were likely undermined by Russia.

The fate of autocracy

https://youtube.com/watch? v=orCAnIJYCc4

The United States came in first place in terms of oil supplies to the European Union, and Russia’s share fell from 31% to 4%.

The result of the “multi-move genius geopolitics” is clear: Russia is simply thrown out of the richest market, which brought in hundreds of billions of dollars.

>>/polru/85241@51041
According to the glorious traditions of their ancestors, the lunaropiks had to be buried with him, so that they would go after him to the afterlife.

Now the United States ranks first in terms of oil supplies to the European Union. In second place is Libya.

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>>/polru/147685@51041
>>/polru/147685@51041

Russian oil workers faced new difficulties in selling oil to India, which after the outbreak of the war and the introduction of Western sanctions became the largest market for barrels from Russia.

Bank of Baroda, India’s second-largest state-owned bank, has blocked payments for oil from Russia since April if its price exceeds the ceiling set by the G7 countries, according to three sources familiar with the situation.

According to them, some Indian refineries used this bank to buy Russian raw materials through the United Arab Emirates with payment in dirhams. A number of deals were priced above $60, the sources said, but the practice will now be ended.

According to the Russian Ministry of Finance, in March, the main export grade of Russian oil workers Urals was sold for export at an average of $47.8. This price does not take into account transportation costs.

How much Indian customers actually pay for oil is shrouded in mystery: according to Argus, the average quotes in India’s northwestern ports in March were $61.7 per barrel, and in February exceeded $66. Goldman Sachs analysts based on Indian customs statistics estimated this level even higher - about $70.

Reuters sources claim that the Russian Sokol and ESPO Blend varieties have been traded for $60 in recent days. And after the rise of global oil prices this week, Russian barrels are likely to break the price ceiling, they believe.

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> Russia, UAE, and Saudi have abandoned all Brent crude standard pricing, signaling abandonment of the European market as a priority!

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the world's hegemon is pissing again

https://youtube.com/watch?v=kz5UmwhQuiU

>>/154610/
These Vikings always plundered the Slavs, and then again squeezed 100 yards. The buck will soon collapse and they'll have garments. And Vovka is like this, I told you to take rubles, well, in general, ours again outplayed, multi-walker, strategist! But what will we eat, well, not in the first

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Russian oil is being pumped from a tanker to a tanker off the Spanish coast. Madrid demands to stop this: the pumping is dangerous for the environment and is probably done to circumvent sanctions. Spain tightens laws and appeals to International Maritime Organization

Azerbaijan offers Kazakhstan to export oil bypassing Russia

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>>/polru/154947@51041

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Oil production in the United States is increasing dramatically. OPEC isn't everything.

>>/polru/160221@51041
You give $30 a barrel, and the limit is 5!

Oil and gas revenues of the Russian budget:
4 months 2022 - 4.8 trillion rubles,
4 months 2023 - 2.3 trillion rubles.

“We will sell everything to friendly countries, and we will lose nothing.”.

>>/polru/182588@51041
Still too much. Had the green pro-Russian carrion not stopped the keystone pipeline and blocked oil production on federal lands in many states, there would have been a real $30 a barrel.

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Saudi Arabia Cuts Asia Oil Prices as Energy Market Weakens
Saudi Arabia cuts oil prices in Asia due to weakening energy market
Aramco drops Arab Light price by 25 cents for buyers in Asia
Aramco cuts price of Arab Light by 25 cents for buyers in Asia
State-controlled Saudi Aramco cut all official selling prices for Asia in June. The company's key Arab Light grade was reduced to $2.55 a barrel above the regional benchmark, 25 cents less than the price for this month.
In June, Saudi Aramco cut all official selling prices for Asia. The company's key Arab Light grade was down $2.55 a barrel above the regional benchmark, 25 cents below this month's price.
The company raised all prices for European customers and left most US grades unchanged.
The company raised all prices for European buyers and left most U.S. brands unchanged.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-05-04/saudi-arabia-cuts-oil-prices-for-asia-as-energy-market-weakens

Prices for Russian Urals crude have almost equalled domestic Russian prices. Exports are becoming extremely unprofitable and even unprofitable.

Kazakhstan plans to expand oil export pipeline to China
This will increase oil supplies from the republic to China to 20 million tons per year.
https://www.vedomosti.ru/business/articles/2023/05/18/975740-kazahstan-planiruet

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The graph clearly shows that the main beneficiary of Western oil sanctions against Russia was India. Its imports of Russian oil and petroleum products increased 33.5 times. Based on a $25-dollar discount per barrel of oil, India’s three-quarter gain was more than $6 billion.

In the Suez Canal broke down a tanker on the way from Russia to China

The Seavigour oil tanker broke down as it passed through the Suez Canal as part of a convoy from Russia to China. The administration of the channel sent three tugs to the scene.

What about the tanker with the insurance?
https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/6027322

Some UAVs attacked the Druzhba oil pipeline in the Bryansk region.

Deliveries of Russian oil to India in June reached a new record: 2.2 million barrels per day, according to Bloomberg.

In May, India imported 1.96 million barrels of Russian oil per day, up 15% from its April high.

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[Album]
Oil painted the river black

An oil pipeline broke through in Komi, causing tons of liquid to spill into the river. Locals are asked not to draw water, and in the city district introduced a mode of “high readiness”.

Already polluted four square kilometers of land

As part of efforts to balance the market, Russia will voluntarily reduce supplies to oil markets by 500,000 barrels per day in August by reducing exports by a specified amount, Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said.

Saudi Arabia during July will voluntarily reduce oil production by another 1 million barrels per day (bpd) in addition to the earlier decision to reduce production by 500 thousand bpd. Thus, in July, the total volume of production reduction by the kingdom will be 1.5 million b/d, and the level of production itself will be about 9 million b/d.

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Indian refineries began to pay in yuan for the import of Russian oil

New stock records: AI-92 above 62 thousand, AI-95 – exceeded 68 thousand rubles per ton

The cost of Russian oil for India has reached the lowest level.

For a barrel of oil, including shipping costs, buyers have to pay $68.17. In May, this figure was $70.17, and a year ago it exceeded $100.

According to the Moscow Fuel Association, the cost of a liter of 95th gasoline at gas stations has increased over the past four weeks by 1.08 rubles, to 55.57 rubles per liter.

Deliveries of Russian oil to India in January-May 2023 increased by 11 times compared to the same period last year and amounted to almost 37 million tons, the Ministry of Industry and Trade of India.

Russia remains the largest supplier of oil to India, followed by Iraq and Saudi Arabia.

Bulgaria prohibits the supply of Russian oil to the Lukoil plant in Burgas.

This may force the company to sell the asset, LUKOIL warns of risks for the Bulgarian fuel market.

Over the past month, the United States has imposed sanctions against five tankers that violated the price ceiling set for Russian oil at $60 per barrel. After that, the ships stopped delivering oil to consumers, writes (https:/) /www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-11-22/what-happened-to-five-tankers-sanctioned-for-russia-violations) Bloomberg, which tracked the movements and location of the ships. Of the sanctioned tankers, four are associated with Sovcomflot (the name of one of them, SCF Primorye, even contains the acronym SCF – Sovcomflot). Another one belongs to a Turkish company. The NS Century tanker has been carrying oil to India regularly in recent months. But after the imposition of sanctions against him a week ago, he drifted off the southern coast of Sri Lanka. India’s General Shipping Authority said it was awaiting guidance from the government on whether the vessel would be allowed to unload its oil. India has recently limited oil purchases from Russia: the share of the latter fell in October to a minimum in the last nine months, according to Reuters calculations. Cumulative Indian imports rose by 8.4% compared to September to 4.7 million barrels, but at the expense of OPEC countries, whose share increased from 50% to 54%. The share of Russia, from which India bought 1.56 million barrels (1.2% more than in September), decreased from 35% to 33%.

Shipment of oil from Manyarossiysk stopped because of the storm – “Transneft”

Russia’s revenues from oil exports fell by 17% in November, the IEA estimated. The Agency also believes that the share of OPEC+ in the world market in 2023 will fall to 51%.

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Prekhtor posted a couple of free markings on oil. If the creats, then they are a recent heap up the name of the Hamasis in panties is marked as the second wave, which has not yet reached its goals. That means we have three down. Other waves are a little more optimistic, but we are still finishing the downward momentum, which will be either the first in the third in brackets according to Prechtor, or the wave (C) on another markup. Now we are correcting in the four, here the markups coincide.

>>/376301/
>> Prechtor

There's some fucking painter, not Precter, they've been doing some game for the last eight years. [Spoiler] Unsubscribed from markups, I can do the same myself.[/spoiler]

>>/polru/376383@51041
Some fucker paints, not Prechter.
In different ways it happens, in general intradays no one except them especially draws, and in general there are few such services, except for them only tradinganalysis.com and elliottwavetrader.net I know, the latter can be used for free there trial without a card, only new mail should be cleaned and cookies. Prekhtor also broadcasts about the fact that everything is already ALL, although the rest of the waves talk about the top five, and here the indices are out.

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>>/376301/
oil has been fucking volatile for the last 20 years, which i strongly doubt that wave analysis applies to it now. there is pure manipulation at the global level. ifsential, what we can confidently say is that the average brent price is 80 per barrel. and there is no reason that it will be long-term higher or lower than this price. the world needs oil. below it definitely will not go. and higher will only be if the current cheap fields are exhausted. i.e., what we have seen in the last 20 years for oil we will see in the next 20 years.

>>/polru/376427@51041
It should be remembered that more oil is traded than it is produced, even fundamental analysts sometimes say this. You remember how in the murky, she went to minus $40, because someone was just looking at futures for resale, not going to take her anywhere. This is what happens when speculators face reality. So the price is more dependent on the sentiment, and he with sufficient liquidity we predict, on a large timeframe at least. Another thing is that there is a correction for correction, which is why it looks so chaotic.

>>/polru/376448@51041
tell me, are you marking/following markings with practical interest or purely academic?

>>/polru/376747@51041
I do not notice, stealing from the above, it is difficult in fact, because when the momentum, then everything is simple, but the markets spend most of the time in corrections, and the correction to build a fibonach on the goal can only rely on the existing movement, otherwise there is not a goal and resistance. I do not trade oil, but the price of oil directly depends on the ability of faggots to poison my life, so we can say that with practical. Forex trading Euro-dollar and a little crypto.

>>/polru/376763@51041
well, as they say, correction is the highest level of impulse.
i look down, the completion of the fourth drew in july 2023. now the fifth draw in the area of 0.93 on the monthly tf.

>>/polru/376763@51041
ps. it is wrong to steal markups, the whole point is lost, because the whole pulp of the wave theory is to trade on the superposition of versatile markups.

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>>/polru/376785@51041
Now the fifth draw in the area of 0.93 on a monthly tf.
I'm looking early. It's a lot of fun going up right now.

>>/376794/
I just go into divergence, and at the first opportunity, I move the stopper to zero, and then to plus. Superposizi is complicated, niponyatny, and where I steal (elliottwavetrader.net) usually give 2-3 alternating markups, so I take them into account, but only as the levels of disability (where to move the stopwig), after which it makes no sense to sit in a position further. As far as I'm concerned, elliot means that as you move forward, it allows you to rule out handicapped markings.

>>/376798/
>> It hurts so fast up.
The correction opens the downward movement. (provided of course that this is a correction), but if it is an impulse, then it will also have a downward correction?

>>/376798/
from 22 years? pff. weak. from 14 years is there a markup? to the main certainly need to mark the index of the buck.

>>/polru/376804@51041
what indicator do you catch on divers?

>>/polru/376806@51041
And the fact that .786 so famously flew this type of norms, in my experience, when so sharply in a disabled person pushes, it is better to wait on the sidelines for confirmation. And only then, after the impulse on the second wave of correction and divergence, the approach to the position to look for.

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>>/polru/376811@51041
RSI and Jurik. Here is the index from where I bought it.

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>>/polru/376812@51041
it's the norm of the type.
what did you do?
oh, come on. fibo for that and fibo for the price to fly by.

>>/polru/376814@51041
this is 3-4 on my markup.

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>>/polru/376814@51041
What are you doing?
I mean the tops of the end of November, not so bison to sit for weeks, I always come in with a tight foot.

>>/polru/376817@51041
do you think it's a c or a 3?

>>/polru/376821@51041
Since the eighth of December? Either the first in the third or the fifth in the first. You can see the markings there. In my opinion, I do not notice, I steal from more experienced people, I can only feel approximately. I feel that it was painfully quick to go, for correction, in general, initially on those markings, this movement was wave B in the circle, I even thought to enter the shorts but I did not wait for confirmation. Trading and markup as for me generally different things, so I do not bother with drawing, only fibonachu draw.

>>/polru/376827@51041
>> Since the eighth of December?
I didn't mean the last few hours. In those cases, at the end of the trading session, Elliott's got a fucking job.
Whether the current high is orthodox, that is the question.

>>/polru/376830@51041
Well, I'm waiting to feel the bottoms, we almost crawled to .382, RSI got together, but the journik has not worked yet. Of course I won't come in on Friday night. Next week, if there is a micro impulse under a tight stop, then I will think about it.

>>/polru/376427@51041
what we have seen over the past 20 years in terms of oil we will see in the next 20 years.
i'll fucking say it

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Russia’s shadow tanker fleet, built to transport oil bypassing the price ceiling, is under threat. Sanctions imposed on several ships and their owners may be just the beginning.

The United States is already imposing sanctions. They were first imposed in October on UAE-based Lumber Marine SA and its SCF Primorye tanker, as well as Turkey’s Ice Pearl Navigation Corp and its Yasa Golden Bosphorus tanker. The vessels entered Russian ports and carried Russian oil, the Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) said. By the end of the year, there are 11 such tankers on the US sanctions list.

Under the same scheme, the U.S. could impose sanctions on another 100 shadow tankers, including three-quarters of Sovcomflot tankers (it is believed to have 80 tankers), writes Craig Kennedy, a fellow at Harvard University’s Davis Center and an expert on the Russian oil industry.

The price ceiling was introduced by the G7 countries, the EU and Australia from December 5, 2022 simultaneously with the EU embargo on the purchase of Russian oil (a similar mechanism was introduced for Russian oil products two months later). Companies from these countries are forbidden to participate in any way in the supply of oil purchased from Russia for more than $ 60 per barrel (transport, insure, credit, etc.), including registration. Before the war, Russia used mostly European tankers and Western insurance, with 90% of all ships in the world using the services of the London-based International Group of Insurers Clubs (IG P&I).

The EU embargo is difficult to circumvent – there are exceptions, but there are almost no loopholes. It can only be broken. The ceiling allows you to supply oil and petroleum products more expensive if you use your own fleet, and insurance and other services - only from companies registered in Russia or third countries.

This shadow fleet is capable of carrying about half of Russia’s oil. The other half is still transported by Western tankers with insurance and other services from countries that have supported the ceiling (but there may be violations – it is very difficult to check the real price of the deal).

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The coalition is not watching Russian tankers, but its own companies and individuals. The U.S. ceiling guidance states that any market participants who “buy Russian oil or Russian petroleum products above the price limit and knowingly rely on U.S. service providers ... potentially violate [price ceiling sanctions] ... and could be subject to OFAC enforcement measures.”

That is, if the company does not interact with the American, then sanctions are unlikely to be imposed against it.

That seems to be the case. Sovcomflot came under sanctions at the beginning of the war and was cut off from Western services. IG P&I has cancelled his insurance. To replace came the state RNPK (daughter of the Central Bank). European banks demanded the repayment of loans. It seemed that ties with the coalition were completely severed.

However, all the tankers under US sanctions have such connections. Of the 11 tankers (including 6 Sovcomflot) are flying the Liberian flag, another is flying the Marshall Islands flag, and the rest are flying the Russian flag. “Both Liberia and the Marshall Islands outsource ship registration operations to private companies. In both cases, these companies are based in Virginia, USA, Kennedy said.

That is, if a ship wants to receive the flag of Liberia or the Marshall Islands, it will need registration services and provide them to companies headquartered in the United States. There is no other option: the registrar is one.

But there are many tankers registered in this way in the Russian shadow fleet.

It appears that Kremlin officials neglected sanctioned hygiene and allowed vessels to use the services of Western firms. That’s how these tankers came under OFAC’s radar, Kennedy wrote.

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How many ships in the shadow fleet is unknown. The numbers are 100 to 600. Kennedy himself thinks there are 250.

According to him, more than 95% of the ships of the shadow fleet are registered in seven countries. The flag of Liberia is used by 88 tankers, including 55 by Sovcomflot. The Marshall Islands are the least popular of the top 7 countries, with 23 tankers. A total of 111 ships, or 40 percent of the fleet that Moscow painstakingly and cost-effectively assembled to circumvent oil price restrictions, Kennedy said.

The traps don't end there. 34 tankers of the shadow fleet had insurance issued in the United States for liability for the oil spill, the expert estimates. Half of the oil from the Far Eastern port of Kozmino in the first quarter of 2023 was sent by ships owned by coalition countries or had insurance companies from these countries (or both), experts of the Kyiv School of Economics wrote.

This increases the number of ships facing sanctions to 145. In addition, sanctions can be extended further down the chain to sellers and buyers of Russian oil, any intermediaries, at least somehow interacted with them.

This is surprising, writes Kennedy, because the Russian Navy should have been inaccessible to sanctions. Tankers delivering oil and petroleum products to China, India and Turkey, their insurers, payment systems and any other related companies should not interact with companies from the countries of the coalition ceiling. Then they could carry fuel that was sold above the established limits.

All this increases the risks for the trade of Russian oil, which Russia will have to compensate with money – one can assume an increase in transaction costs, an increase in the discount in the price of Russian oil relative to Brent and eventually a decrease in budget revenues, Kennedy argues.

Where shall we go?
Sanctioned tankers are scattered around the world. NS Century was on its way to India when it was placed on the sanctions list. The Indian port refused to accept it. The tanker is drifting in the Laccadive Sea. Kazan and Ligovsky Prospect docked in Chinese ports, MarineTraffic shows. HS Atlantica stands in the Sea of Marmara.

The Turkish tanker was chartered by the American Exxon Mobil at the time of the sanctions. But OFAC had no claims against the company as it chartered the vessel months after shipping Russian crude. The tanker was allowed to deliver the cargo to Houston, then it retreated to the Gulf of Mexico, and now, according to MarineTraffic, is in the Mexican port of Altamira. The remaining ships go to Russia: Viktor Bakaev, SCF Primorye to the Black Sea, NS Champion to Ust-Luga.

This one, too, is worth saving

India, which has become the largest buyer of offshore oil shipments from Russia, has not purchased Russian premium grade ESPO oil for two months - This follows from Kpler data

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WHAT THEY DON'T LOVE US FOR!!!

At the beginning of the year, accidents occurred at several refineries, which led to a complete or partial suspension of the work of plants:

On January 12, LUKOIL reported an “incident” at the Nizhny Novgorod NORSI refinery (the company did not specify what exactly happened), the work of the process plant was suspended;
on the night of January 21, a fire occurred at the NOVATEK terminal in Ust-Luga, the company called it the cause of external influence;
on the night of January 25, a vacuum plant on the territory of the Tuapse refinery caught fire;
On February 3, there was a fire of petroleum products at the Volgograd refinery of LUKOIL;
On February 9, a fire occurred at the Ilsky Refinery in the Krasnodar Territory at night.

Russian Energy Minister Nikolai Shulginov reported on February 20 that the Ilsky Refinery had already returned to work, shipments of petroleum products at Novatek’s enterprise in Ust-Luga resumed, and the return to work of the remaining refineries would take several months. We can do it again! [/spoiler]

15.03.2024 The price of gasoline AI-92 on the stock exchange exceeded 50 thousand rubles per ton for the first time since November

Russia began direct oil supplies to North Korea in defiance of UN sanctions, further strengthening ties between authoritarian regimes.

At least 5 North Korean tankers set off this month for oil products from the port of Vostochny in Russia's Far East, according to satellite imagery provided by the British think tank Royal United Services Institute.

Russia is increasing imports of petroleum products from Belarus to cover the deficit in the domestic market, which was formed as a result of successful attacks by SBU UAVs and GUR of Ukraine against Russian refineries and oil depots.

Reuters claims that the Mozyr and Novopolotsk refineries can somewhat increase oil refining.

Куйбышевский НПЗ Роснефти полностью остановился после пожара 23 марта — источники Reuters.

MOSCOW, March 28 (Reuters) - Russia's Kuibyshev mid-sized oil refinery near the city of Samara on the Volga river has halted all production following damage from a Ukrainian drone attack last week, two industry sources told Reuters on Thursday.

Last year, the Kuibyshev plant was Russia's 29th biggest oil refinery by output, accounting for 1.34% of total oil refining throughput, having processed 3.687 million tons of crude oil.
It produced 624,000 tons of gasoline (1.42% of Russia's total), 1.187 million tons of diesel (1.35%), and 1.040 million tons of fuel oil (2.56%).

https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/russias-kuibyshev-oil-refinery-standstill-after-drone-attack-last-week-2024-03-28/

US sanctions prevent Russia from repairing its refineries after Ukrainian attacks.

When on January 4, Lukoil engineers discovered a turbine breakdown at its largest oil refinery, Nizhny Novgorodnefteorgsintez, it turned out that it was impossible to find spare parts for it due to sanctions. The company OUP, engaged in its service, left Russia two years ago. The catalytic cracking unit, used to convert heavy hydrocarbons into gasoline, has not been operating since the start of the year. As a result, the Lukoil refinery, the fourth largest in Russia, reduced gasoline production by 40%.

This is just an example of the problems faced by the entire energy industry during the war. The situation is aggravated by the attacks of Ukrainian drones – they could disable more than 15% of the capacity of the refinery. While the U.S. has (unofficially) asked Ukraine not to hit factories, it is such attacks that do more damage to the Pidori economy than all sanctions.

Russia in the first quarter of 2024 continued to increase oil supplies to Uzbekistan, displacing Kazakh raw materials, follows from the data of the Argus review “Caspian Market”.

Imports from Russia increased in January-March to the same period of 2023 by 7 times to 75,000 tons against the background of a decrease in oil supplies from Kazakhstan by 26% to 13,400 tons.

The UK continues to import record volumes of oil products from Russia using a loophole in the law.

Despite an official ban on direct imports of Russian oil from December 2022, products processed in third countries such as India, China and Turkey are not subject to this ban. In 2023, the UK imported a record £2.2bn of refined oil from these countries.

Because of the crisis in the Red Sea, the EU countries had to return to energy resources from Russia, writes the Turkish Yeni Şafak.

Russian supplies accounted for almost a quarter of gas purchased by Europeans in January-March. Imports of blue fuel from Russia increased by 23% and exceeded seven billion cubic meters.

govnashenko said that the Belarusian opposition and its curators “plan to seize the Kobrin district, declare a new government and appeal to NATO about the introduction of troops.”

That's where the attack came from!

In June 2024, imports of Russian Urals crude oil to India reached a historical record, amounting to 1.6 million barrels per day, which is 13% more than last year.

On behalf of Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak, the Ministry of Energy and the Federal Antimonopoly Service will monitor the prices of gasoline and diesel fuel at gas stations.

The purpose of the measure is to prevent prices from rising above the level of inflation. The decision was made at a meeting with the participation of representatives of key departments and organizations. The main topic of discussion was the current situation in the oil products market.

The FAS of Rabbi supports the return to the ban on gasoline exports from August 1, 2024.

Slovak refinery Slovnaft will stop the supply of diesel fuel to Ukraine if Kiev does not resume the transit of slave oil, said the Prime Minister of Slovakia Fico

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All refineries were repaired the next day

Nicolas Maduro did not rule out the transfer of rights to develop oil and gas fields in the country to the BRICS countries

slave oil companies faced a sharp drop in demand for their barrels from the main buyer — China.

At the end of July, oil supplies from Russia to China fell by 7.4% year-on-year, and their total volume - 1.76 million barrels per day - was the lowest since at least the end of last year, follows from Chinese customs statistics.

 >>/598314/
> рабсийские нефтяные компании столкнулись с резким падением спроса на свои баррели у главного покупателя — Китая.
Где Китай берет нефть или он тоже сократил потребление?

 >>/598549/
Кризис в китайском строительстве снижает мировые цены на сталь на 16–40% с начала 2024 г., угрожая рабсийским металлургам, – КоммерсантЪ

 >>/598549/
> Где Китай берет нефть
Троллинг тупостью. Ну да. Ведь нигде кроме пидорашки нефть не добывается же

 >>/468467/
> рабсия начала прямые поставки нефти в Северную Корею вопреки санкциям ООН

ООН уже выразила озабоченность?

После атаки на Пролетарск в Ростовской области началась распродажа нефтебаз, - местные СМИ 

В Ростовской области владельцы нефтебаз решили избавиться от предприятий: на продажу выставлены сразу несколько нефтебаз в разных районах региона.


Одну нефтебазу выставили на продажу вчера‚ 20 августа․ Владелец уточнил‚ что продает комплекс вместе с земельным участком‚ площадь которого составляет 16,7 тысячи квадратных метров․ В комплекс входят два здания‚ несколько емкостей для топлива и железнодорожный подъезд․ Выручить за нефтебазу владелец хочет не менее 30 миллионов рублей.


Вторая нефтебаза на продажу была выставлена чуть ранее․ Ее площадь -  0,6 га. Территория огорожена бетонным забором и освещена․ База асфальтирована․ Предусмотрен железнодорожный подъезд․ Автор объявления отметил‚ что если сдавать нефтебазу в аренду‚ то можно заработать 1,1 миллиона рублей.


Также в Ростовской области на продажу выставлены еще два нефтеперерабатывающих завода и неработающая нефтебаза. 

https://rostovgazeta.ru/news/2024-08-21/v-rostovskoy-oblasti-massovo-rasprodayut-neftebazy-posle-pozhara-v-proletarske-5171653
https://privet-rostov.ru/gorod/103971-v-rostovskoj-oblasti-nachalas-rasprodazha-neftebaz-posle-ataki-proletarska.html

рабсийские нефтеперерабатывающие заводы в августе резко увеличили экспорт мазута, который теперь стремится к рекордным значениям этого года, узнал «КоммерсантЪ». 

За первые 23 дня месяца РФ экспортировала 1,1 млн баррелей в сутки, что на 200 тыс. тонн превышает объем поставок в июле. Крупнейшими импортерами рабсийского мазута стали Китай, Индия, а также Саудовская Аравия, которая использует этот нефтепродукт для нужд электрогенерации.

IBM прекращает научно-исследовательские и проектно-конструкторские разработки (НИОКР) в Китае и увольняет более 1 тысячи сотрудников, сообщает South China Morning Post (SCMP).